Fun with COVID-19 reporting in MA (and elsewhere)

MA is doing well comparatively to other states with our vaccination rate.  We're currently third, behind Vermont and just behind Maine (behind by 0.1%) With that said, we're only at 60.2% and the rate of at-least-one-dose is increasing at only 0.12% per day.  With our current at-least-one-dose being 69.7%, that means in about a month we'll be close to 70% fully vaccinated but it will take us another 85 days after that (at our current rate) to reach 80%. Of course, reaching 80% was always going to be hard as long as only 12+ year olds are eligible.  13% of our population is under 10 years old (I don't have the number of 10-11 year olds), which means we need nearly everybody else getting vaccinated to reach 80% until this fall when we're expecting to see additional children become eligible.  Given that we're really REALLY far from everybody else being vaccinated, it's not surprising we would be missing the mark so badly. The percentage of each age range that i...

Green  - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day Yellow   - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day Orange  - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day Red  - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day  Maroon - Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day Purple - Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day Black   - Greater  than  or equal to 64  cases  per 100,000 people per day Information right next to the city/town name is the most recent information and the furthest to the right is the furthest back.  Each number is the outcome of taking this week's data, subtracting the data from 2 weeks ago, and dividing by 14 (to get the per day) and then dividing by the population of the location (to get the per person) and then multi...

Just a quick note that Melbourne, Australia is doing a lockdown due to a pickup of COVID-19 cases.  This led me to take a quick look at some comparisons between MA and Australia. Before I look at those, there are many differences between Australia and MA that I should acknowledge that account for their ability to control COVID-19 better than MA has.  For one thing, Australia is a much larger with fewer people per square mile.  Australia has about 6.8 times the number of people but 281 times the amount of space.  There's also the fact that Australia is a continent surrounded by water, where MA is surrounded on 3 sides by other states.   Right now, Australia is seeing just 0.06 cases per day per 100,000 people (and this is an increase from the last few months)... compared to the 1 case per day per 100,000 people that everybody is super-excited about right now in MA.  At their first wave's peak, they reached 1.5 cases per day per 100,000 people and at the...

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it:  https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html Green  - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day Yellow   - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day Orange  - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day Red  - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day  Maroon - Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day Purple - Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people...