Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 23-Jul-2020 edition

Today's 4pm report came out just before 9:25pm

The Number of Hospitals using Surge Capacity graph is identical to yesterday's (ie, we don't have new information on hospitals for July 22 yet apparently?)

Yesterday the 7-Day Weighted Average Positive Test Rate for July 21st was 1.8% and today it is listed as 1.7%... which in and of itself is not surprising (the number does fluctuate for a few days) but what is surprising is that today the July 22nd rate is 1.8% and the graph line is horizontal from the 21st to the 22nd.

Daily confirmed+probable cases on July 13 is the highest we've seen since June 9 (and is still within the 14 day window where we should expect to see increases)

While we don't know how many hospitals are using surge capacity as of July 22, we do somehow know that there were only 351 people in hospitals at the end of the day on July 22, which marks the biggest decrease in over a month (181 fewer patients, where we typically see low double digits in either direction)... oh, and we don't know anything about hospital admissions for the 22nd... seems... awkward.... oh, and intubations and ICU count barely shifted in comparison (4 fewer ICU and 7 fewer intubations... both are June 22nd numbers)

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay curious about the numbers and amused by little mistakes on a report that comes out around 5 hours later than usual.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Switching to Wastewater Monitoring Only

Case counts were already somewhat misleading so, if people were actually paying attention to the wastewater and had a target and/or threshold for concern, that would actually be potentially a more reasonable thing to monitor... with that in mind, let's look at some time points to try to find some measures to consider.  Let's start with establishing a few thresholds.   Early on in the pandemic, we said 8 cases per 100,000 people per day was the highest threshold of concern (ie, that was the introduction to the highest risk-rating we had).  Later, we relaxed this a bit because we realized that this would keep us on high alert and never allow us to go back to normal ... sort of like saying that everybody is smoking so the threshold that for risking cancer shouldn't be smoking 3 cigarettes a day but instead should be a pack a day.  Based on this relaxing of concern, let's go ahead and add in 16 cases per 100,000 people per day as a threshold to monitor for, just as we did w
Read more

MA Wastewater Tracking (23-Jan-2024 data)

Image
See that little uptick at the end of each graph? This didn't happen in 2022 but did in 2023. We understood the goal in 2022 (to some degree) but since ... is there some portion of the population who says "covid spread must be down so let's go nuts"? I suspect this is partially colleges reconvening their students on campuses where in 2022 they were still trying to get their students to maintain some precautions and they haven't been since... but I also don't think this is just college campuses.
Read more

Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 18-Jun-2020 edition

For those of you who like to see fun with numbers and accounting of Covid cases in Massachusetts (and also to get depressed in the morning)... Yesterday's report included an increase in the overall number of probable and confirmed cases of 266 an increase in the overall number of confirmed cases of 180 a change in the number of confirmed and probable cases that were originally traced to the last 44 days of 171 That means that at least 9 newly found confirmed cases and at least 78 OTHER newly found probable cases FROM BEFORE 44 DAYS AGO were uncovered sometime between 4pm on Tuesday and 4pm on Wednesday. Once we get past 4 days, we only see single-digit increases/decreases in uncovered cases so those numbers seem to be relatively static. We are likely to get to the 7,750 dead mark today and the 8,000 dead mark by early July. Daily hospital admissions has only slightly decreased in the last 44 days but our number of people remaining in the hospital on a given day has decreased from a
Read more