Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 01-Oct-2020 edition

Yesterday, last Thursday was the highest single day new cases since in May 28 but nobody has time for that news because today this past Monday (already, just 4 days ago... reminder, a day's cases continues to go up for over a week) is already the highest single day new cases since May 26.

And since a single day isn't important, I'll remind you that we saw an average of 157 cases per day the week of Jun 28, averaged 218 the month of July, 28 the month of August, 370* the month of September, 354 the week of Sep 13, and 450* the week of Sep 20. *expect these numbers to increase tomorrow and for several more days... yes, we will potentially see last week having 3 times as many cases as the week of Jun 28... and we haven't seen a single week since mid August that didn't have twice as many as Jun 28.

Also, we've now seen the second day of 6 hospitals using surge capacity... 6... we haven't seen that count since July and you have to go back to July 14/15 to find 2 days in a row.... and in July there were only 3 days with this count... hell, there were only 5 days in all of June, July, and August (and through September 28) that had 6+ hospitals using surge capacity.

Percent of individuals tested being positive has now been 2.3%+ for 15 days straight (fluctuating between 2.3% and 3.9% with 6 of the last 8 days being >3%).... why is that important? because Jun 29 through Sept 7 we had a total of 3 days reaching 2.3% (2 at the very start of July were 2.5% and July 30 was 2.3%).

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay not being duped by Gov Baker into thinking we're on the right track.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Switching to Wastewater Monitoring Only

Case counts were already somewhat misleading so, if people were actually paying attention to the wastewater and had a target and/or threshold for concern, that would actually be potentially a more reasonable thing to monitor... with that in mind, let's look at some time points to try to find some measures to consider.  Let's start with establishing a few thresholds.   Early on in the pandemic, we said 8 cases per 100,000 people per day was the highest threshold of concern (ie, that was the introduction to the highest risk-rating we had).  Later, we relaxed this a bit because we realized that this would keep us on high alert and never allow us to go back to normal ... sort of like saying that everybody is smoking so the threshold that for risking cancer shouldn't be smoking 3 cigarettes a day but instead should be a pack a day.  Based on this relaxing of concern, let's go ahead and add in 16 cases per 100,000 people per day as a threshold to monitor for, just as we did w
Read more

MA Wastewater Tracking (23-Jan-2024 data)

Image
See that little uptick at the end of each graph? This didn't happen in 2022 but did in 2023. We understood the goal in 2022 (to some degree) but since ... is there some portion of the population who says "covid spread must be down so let's go nuts"? I suspect this is partially colleges reconvening their students on campuses where in 2022 they were still trying to get their students to maintain some precautions and they haven't been since... but I also don't think this is just college campuses.
Read more

Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 18-Jun-2020 edition

For those of you who like to see fun with numbers and accounting of Covid cases in Massachusetts (and also to get depressed in the morning)... Yesterday's report included an increase in the overall number of probable and confirmed cases of 266 an increase in the overall number of confirmed cases of 180 a change in the number of confirmed and probable cases that were originally traced to the last 44 days of 171 That means that at least 9 newly found confirmed cases and at least 78 OTHER newly found probable cases FROM BEFORE 44 DAYS AGO were uncovered sometime between 4pm on Tuesday and 4pm on Wednesday. Once we get past 4 days, we only see single-digit increases/decreases in uncovered cases so those numbers seem to be relatively static. We are likely to get to the 7,750 dead mark today and the 8,000 dead mark by early July. Daily hospital admissions has only slightly decreased in the last 44 days but our number of people remaining in the hospital on a given day has decreased from a
Read more