Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 29-Nov-2020 Edition

Just a quick review of last week's predictions:

  • My prediction was that by the end of the week, the prior week's average will turn out to be higher than 2,500.
    • At 2,599, that checks out. 
  • By this time, no single weekday from the week of Nov 15 will have had fewer than 2,800 cases.
    • The lowest count is 2,783 currently so this hasn't been reached yet.
  • Continued prediction: By Christmas, we will have reached 11,500 deaths (confirmed + probable)
    • This prediction would require us to average 27.8 deaths per day ... the week before last we averaged 27 and the somewhat-stable numbers from this past week average 29, so we'll see.
No new predictions this week because Thanksgiving throws things a bit out of wack.  The case count for Thursday will be super low because who gets tested unless absolutely necessary on a holiday... Though, Thursday's cases are already 1,759 and have a week to go before they stop increasing.

Stay safe. Stay Sane. Stay informed.

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