Outside MA: Pennsylvania, Illinois, and North Carolina

Periodically, I look at states and countries where I have friends and/or family to see how those states are doing with COVID-19 cases. I always take a look at the population size of the state as well so that the comparison I'm making to MA numbers is somewhat valid. 

Today: Pennsylvania, Illinois, and North Carolina

Pennsylvania started by reaching 13 cases per 100,000 population in its first wave in the very beginning of April and then driving their cases down to 3 near the middle of June.  Certainly nothing to sneeze at but even we in MA reached 2.2.  They have steadily been increasing since then, with the last couple months being a steeper incline.  Mid October they were at 11 cases per 100,000 ... and they are now at 23 (in MA, we're around 20).

Illinois saw a similar first wave but slightly larger, reaching 20 cases per 100,000 at the start of May, then worked on reducing that and bottomed out at 5 in the middle of June.  Just like Pennsylvania and Massachusetts and so many others, they then steadily increased through the rest of the summer.  Their steep increase came in October (and continues).  Mid October they were at 26 cases per 100,000, and now they are at 72!!!  

North Carolina, oh, North Carolina.... you saw a steady increase all the way into July.  You finally "peaked" in mid July at 19 cases per 100,000.  I put peaked in quotes because I wouldn't say you drove the cases down... a month and a half later, at the start of Sep, you stopped reducing cases, having reached 11 cases per 100,000.  You then have continued to slowly increase again seeing mid Oct 19 cases per 100,00 but unlike the other states, there has been no steep incline, just a slow one.... and you now have 23 cases per 100,000.  

Summary:
  • Pennsylvania and Illinois both had can firmly be considered a first wave followed by driving their cases down to a point, though not as low as some other states.  Both have seen a steep incline in the last couple months, though Illinois is clearly doing worse at the moment.
  • North Carolina, has been somewhere in the teens since June and while having a first "peak" and a recent increase, hasn't done anything to the point where I would call what they've seen as waves... more like ripples.
Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed.

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