Revising The City/Town 2-Week Spread Calculation

The state uses the currently known count for the last Saturday (a number 4 days in the making) and the Sunday 2 weeks prior (a number 17 days in the making) to determine their 2-week increase in case count per city/town. This is downplaying the count as explained in my post https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html  I'm going to start doing the more true calculation going forward for my weekly Greater Greater Somerville reporting.  Just thought I'd give you preview of how this adjusts the numbers:

Area - State reported - More realistic number
  • Arlington -    5.6 -   7.5
  • Boston  -     23.1 -  24.5
  • Cambridge -  8.9 -   9.9
  • Chelsea -     57.8 - 60.5
  • Fitchburg -  48.8 - 50.2
  • Holliston -   16.2 - 17.1
  • Lawrence -  82.6  - 88.4 (a top range of 40+ for my color coding really may not be sufficient)
  • Lowell -       42.1 - 46.1
  • Lynn -          45.1 - 48.4
  • Malden -      22.7 - 26.1
  • Medford -    15.9 - 18.8
  • Quincy -        9.5 - 10.3
  • Salem -         25.9 - 28.2
  • Somerville - 16.6 - 17.8
  • Springfield - 35.2 - 38.5
  • MA Statewide - 20.7 - 22.4
I'll go back and do this calculation for the last couple months so that I have the same running tally that I have been doing in my weekly summary of how. each locale is doing.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay mathy (YAY MATHY!)

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