Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 26-Dec-2020 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post from a few weeks ago: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

• Green - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day 
• Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day

Information right next to the city/town name is the most recent information and the furthest to the right is the furthest back.  

• Arlington - 26.6<-31.3<-27.6<-13.5<-10.6<- 7.5 <- 6.4 <- 6.7 <- 3.9 <- 0.9 <- 2.2 <- 3.0 <- 1.9 <- 2.5 <- 2.7 <- 1.4 <- 0.6 <- 0.6 
• Boston - 60.6<-63.7<-48<-34.0<-33.0<- 24.5 <- 19.2 <- 16.4 <- 12.0 <- 10.9 <- 10.2 <- 8.6 <- 8.0 <- 5.8 <- 5.8 <- 7.8 <- 7.1 <- 6.6 
• Cambridge - 28.9<-29.4<-23.1<-23.5<-20.1<- 9.9 <- 5.8 <- 3.9 <- 4.2 <- 3.7 <- 2.7 <- 3.1 <- 3.0 <- 2.4 <- 1.8 <- 1.6 <- 2.2 <- 2.3 
• Chelsea - 135.2<-152.5<-106.4<-70.7<- 73.8<- 60.5 <- 48.0 <- 34.9 <- 26.9 <- 30.2 <- 24.3 <- 18.6 <- 20.5 <- 20.9 <- 26.4 <- 31.3 <- 30.0 <- 22.2 
• Fitchburg - 85.0<-81.9<-62.6<-50.5<-56.4<- 50.2 <- 41.0 <- 25.6 <- 6.9 <- 3.9 <- 2.5 <- 1.5 <- 1.5 <- 2.5 <- 3.2 <- 2.4 <- 2.0 <- 3.7 
• Holliston - 38.5<-33.3<-23.1<-24.9<-19.7<- 17.1 <- 17.1 <- 13.0 <- 9.8 <- 7.8 <- 5.7 <- 6.7 <- 8.8 <- 6.2 <- 3.6 <- 5.2 <- 2.6 <- 1.0 
• Lawrence - 166.0<-205.7<-169.6<-110.5<-110.8<- 88.4 <- 64.3 <- 57.3 <- 49.3 <- 41.2 <- 37.6 <- 36.5 <- 22.5 <- 14.1 <- 18.3 <- 17.0 <- 12.6 <- 9.5 
• Lowell - 118.5<-139.1<-110.0<-81.9<-67.4<- 46.1 <- 29.8 <- 19.7 <- 13.9 <- 15.2 <- 16.7 <- 12.3 <- 8.1 <- 6.4 <- 6.1 <- 4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
• Lynn - 117.4<-133.4<-100.5<-71.4<-64.5<- 48.4 <- 38.3 <- 27.6 <- 18.7 <- 13.6 <- 11.2 <- 12.0 <- 15.7 <- 13.2 <- 9.6 <- 12.2 <- 17.0 <- 22.2 
• Malden - 73.4<-81<-64.0<-36.9<-35.3<- 26.1 <- 17.1 <- 13.8 <- 12.2 <- 11.9 <- 10.9 <- 6.3 <- 4.3 <- 6.1 <- 7.3 <- 5.9 <- 3.7 <- 3.0 
• Medford - 62.5<-67.1<-53.8<-26.4<-24.1<- 18.8 <- 11.6 <- 8.8 <- 7.2 <- 6.9 <- 5.8 <- 4.8 <- 4.7 <- 4.7 <- 5.4 <- 4.1 <- 3.3 <- 4.1 
• Quincy - 54.5<-55.8<-41.9<-19.3<-13.6<- 10.3 <- 8.5 <- 6.9 <- 6.3 <- 6.9 <- 6.4 <- 4.8 <- 3.7 <- 3.2 <- 2.9 <- 2.6 <- 3.3 <- 2.8 
• Salem - 86.9<-88.7<-70.8<-50.6<-41.9<- 28.2 <- 16.8 <- 9.8 <- 6.5 <- 5.9 <- 6.7 <- 6.5 <- 4.4 <- 3.8 <- 4.9 <- 4.9 <- 6.5 <- 9.8 
• Somerville - 48.4<-47.8<-39.5<-35.9<-8.2<- 17.8 <- 10.3 <- 7.4 <- 7.1 <- 7.5 <- 6.4 <- 4.9 <- 5.2 <- 7.0 <- 7.9 <- 6.5 <- 4.7 <- 3.4 
• Springfield - 84.1<-93.0<-80.4<-65.2<-56.9<- 38.5 <- 26.3 <- 18.1 <- 11.3 <- 14.7 <- 14.6 <- 9.6 <- 5.7 <- 3.7 <- 3.6 <- 2.8 <- 3.5 <- 4.5 

• State - 64.9<-68.1<-53.3<-35.5<-31.2 <- 22.4 <- 16.3 <- 12.7 <- 9.3 <- 8.5 <- 7.6 <- 6.2 <- 5.1 <- 4.4 <- 4.4 <- 4.5 <- 4.0 <- 3.8

Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:

• Green - 60 (same last week) (Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Yellow - 2 (same as last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Orange - 6 (3 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Red - 26 (2 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
• Maroon- 66 (3 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Purple- 103 (2 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Black - 88 (same as last week last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).

Oh, also, according to the state, according to the state,

• 133 cities/towns of 352 have a higher rate now than they did in last week's report, 186 have a lower rating.
• 188 cities/towns are in the red per the state's crazy determination, up 1 from last week.
• 327 cities/towns of 352 would be red per the state's original color coding.

Summary: We have seen some slight improvements in some places but not significant improvements in most and certainly not significant overall.  We are very much still in a dangerous place (in terms of COVID-19), far more dangerous than we were at any point prior to November... and this is prior to the Christmas/New Years events.  Thankfully it appears that Chanukah did not spread COVID-19 as much as Thanksgiving did so maybe those that celebrate Christmas will behave more appropriately for the times as well?  I mean, it seems unlikely but we can hope... and then find out in about 2 weeks.

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of? Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay vigilant. Stay understanding we are about to see things get drastically worse still.