Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 09-Jan-2021 Edition

So, let's start with a follow up on my prediction from last week that we'd reach 400,000 cases by Jan 15.  We now know that we reached it by Jan 6.  It took us 100 days to go from 3 cases to 100,000 (skipping the first 35 days where we didn't see cases coming in every day), 162 days to get from 100,000 to 200,000 (you know, back when we pretended we cared that people were getting sick), 26 days to go from 200,000 to 300,000, and then only 22 days to go from 300,000 to 400,000.

Our 7-day average for the week of Dec 27 is now easily our highest at 4,867 and, even with the 6th day available currently being at 355 and expected to climb to be several thousand, this past week is already a close second at 4,672 (average of 6 days) which shows that this wasn't just a blip.  The third highest was 4,630 and was for the week of Nov 29, just for reference.  I expect we'll know this past week was another record breaker by this Wednesday (even though it will still be increasing at that point).

Any glimmer of hope that we had somehow figured out that we should be careful based on the ever so slight reduction in new cases the weeks of Nov 6, Nov 13 and then the rapid decrease the week of Nov 20 have now been proved to be false hope as we return to rapidly climbing cases.  

Deaths, which have been steadily increasing since mid-October, saw a week-over-week increase of 12% the week of Dec 20 to the week of Dec 27 (the deaths for this past week are still coming in... we'll likely know by Wed what it looked like).  The deaths for the week of Dec 27 (average of 70.7 per day) are higher than any other week going back through May 24.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed.  

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