Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 14-May-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition (Data from 13-May-2021 Reporting)

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

  • Green - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day 
  • Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
Information right next to the city/town name is the most recent information and the furthest to the right is the furthest back. 
  • Arlington - 3.6 <-3.4 <-4.8 <-8.6 <-11.1 <-10.6 <-10.1 <-10.8 <-11.8 <-11.5 <-12.5 <-11.8 <-15.0 <-20.3 <-22.1 <-24.6 <-31.0 <-32.6 <-27.4 <-27.4 <-26.6 <-31.3 <-27.6 <-13.5 <-10.6 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-6.7 <-3.9 <-0.9 <-2.2 <-3.0 <-1.9 <-2.5 <-2.7 <-1.4 <-0.6 <-0.6 
  • Boston - 11.2 <-14.2 <-17.8 <-23.7 <-32.0 <-35.7 <-29.9 <-23.3 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-23.7 <-24.8 <-29.5 <-36.9 <-47.8 <-56.5 <-69.0 <-72.2 <-60.6 <-56.6 <-60.6 <-63.7 <-48.0 <-34.0 <-33.0 <-24.5 <-19.2 <-16.4 <-12.0 <-10.9 <-10.2 <-8.6 <-8.0 <-5.8 <-5.8 <-7.8 <-7.1 <- 6.6 
  • Cambridge - 5.7 <-8.7 <-12.5 <-19.5 <-20.9 <-21.9 <-22.1 <-16.3 <-15.8 <-15.7 <-13.7 <-12.8 <-13.6 <-20.1 <-28.1 <-32.9 <-34.1 <-32.6 <-27.9 <-26.0 <-28.9 <- 29.4 <-23.1 <- 23.5 <-20.1 <-9.9 <-5.8 <-3.9 <-4.2 <-3.7 <-2.7 <-3.1 <-3.0 <-2.4 <-1.8 <-1.6 <-2.2 <-2.3 
  • Chelsea - 17.4 <-28.5 <-42.0 <-42.7 <-39.1 <-31.3 <-23.0 <-20.7 <-19.0 <-28.1 <-37.1 <-39.1 <-46.4 <-56.7 <-83.2 <-109.5 <-132.0 <-137.4 <-125.2 <-124.2 <-135.2 <-152.5 <-106.4 <-70.7 <-73.8 <-60.5 <-48.0 <-34.9 <-26.9 <-30.2 <-24.3 <-18.6 <-20.5 <-20.9 <- 26.4 <-31.3 <-30.0 <-22.2 
  • Fitchburg - 16.1 <-21.5 <-24.1 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-21.7 <-18.8 <-19.8 <-20.5 <-27.0 <-32.6 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-38.3 <-47.5 <-57.8 <-81.9 <-95.3 <-80.5 <-81.1 <-85.0 <-81.9 <-62.6 <-50.5 <-56.4 <-50.2 <-41.0 <-25.6 <-6.9 <-3.9 <-2.5 <-1.5 <-1.5 <-2.5 <-3.2 <-2.4 <- 2.0 <-3.7 
  • Holliston - 10.4 <-12.5 <-14.1 <-16.7 <-16.7 <-16.1 <-15.1 <-18.2 <-19.3 <-17.7 <-17.7 <-14.1 <-15.1 <-19.3 <-28.6 <-40.0 <-48.9 <-51.5 <-45.4 <-46.3 <-38.5 <- 33.3 <-23.1 <-24.9 <-19.7 <-17.1 <-17.1 <-13.0 <-9.8 <-7.8 <-5.7 <-6.7 <-8.8 <-6.2 <-3.6 <-5.2 <-2.6 <-1.0 
  • Lawrence - 26.7 <-36.0 <-37.9 <-45.2 <-49.1 <-43.9 <-34.1 <-26.8 <-23.8 <-22.0 <-30.1 <-38.1 <-43.5 <-53.9 <-77.8 <-101.5 <-164.7 <-162.5 <-137.2 <-139.2 <-166.0 <-205.7 <-169.6 <-110.5 <-110.8 <-88.4 <-64.3 <-57.3 <-49.3 <-41.2 <-37.6 <-36.5 <-22.5 <-14.1 <-18.3 <-17.0 <-12.6 <-9.5 
  • Lowell - 20.3 <-28.5 <-35.5 <-45.0 <-53.3 <-54.8 <-47.4 <-33.9 <-25.6 <-21.6 <-24.2 <-30.3 <-37.0 <-47.0 <-63.7 <-71.3 <-83.0 <-85.5 <-79.3 <-92.4 <-118.5 <- 139.1 <-110.0 <-81.9 <-67.4 <-46.1 <-29.8 <-19.7 <-13.9 <-15.2 <-16.7 <-12.3 <-8.1 <-6.4 <-6.1 <-4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
  • Lynn - 13.0 <-18.1 <-24.4 <-29.2 <-32.9 <-36.6 <-35.9 <-31.7 <-24.1 <-19.5 <-24.7 <-30.7 <-43.0 <-55.0 <-66.6 <-88.0 <-117.1 <-122.8 <-110.8 <-103.9 <-117.4 <-133.4 <-100.5 <-71.4 <-64.5 <-48.4 <-38.3 <-27.6 <-18.7 <-13.6 <-11.2 <-12.0 <-15.7 <-13.2 <-9.6 <-12.2 <-17.0 <-22.2 
  • Malden - 9.8 <-13.9 <-19.3 <-26.2 <-28.2 <-28.8 <-30.7 <-29.2 <-24.3 <-17.3 <-16.8 <-17.0 <-23.2 <-39.5 <-53.5 <-65.5 <-84.5 <-86.0 <-72.4 <-68.1 <-73.4 <-81 <- 64.0 <- 36.9 <-35.3 <-26.1 <-17.1 <-13.8 <-12.2 <-11.9 <-10.9 <-6.3 <-4.3 <-6.1 <-7.3 <-5.9 <-3.7 <-3.0 
  • Medford - 8.1 <-12.8 <-19.5 <-22.7 <-25.5 <-27.0 <-24.0 <-22.3 <-18.9 <-14.8 <-15.9 <-16.3 <-21.4 <-31.0 <-40.2 <-52.8 <-70.5 <-73.5 <-63.1 <-62.0 <-62.5 <- 67.1 <-53.8 <-26.4 <-24.1 <-18.8 <-11.6 <-8.8 <-7.2 <-6.9 <-5.8 <-4.8 <-4.7 <-4.7 <-5.4 <-4.1 <-3.3 <-4.1 
  • Quincy - 6.6 <-11.1 <-14.4 <-16.0 <-18.3 <-21.5 <-21.8 <-20.5 <-19.8 <-15.9 <-17.0 <-20.5 <-24.4 <-33.8 <-46.1 <-50.7 <-59.6 <-65.0 <-55.6 <-52.4 <-54.5 <- 55.8 <-41.9 <-19.3 <-13.6 <-10.3 <-8.5 <-6.9 <-6.3 <-6.9 <-6.4 <-4.8 <-3.7 <-3.2 <-2.9 <-2.6 <-3.3 <-2.8 
  • Salem - 14.6 <-15.9 <-19.4 <-23.3 <-26.8 <-25.2 <-19.7 <-16.3 <-20.0 <-18.6 <-19.0 <-27.8 <-32.8 <-34.3 <-50.9 <-69.0 <-86.8 <-89.2 <-73.5 <-77.6 <-86.9 <-88.7 <-70.8 <-50.6 <-41.9 <-28.2 <-16.8 <-9.8 <-6.5 <-5.9 <-6.7 <-6.5 <-4.4 <-3.8 <-4.9 <-4.9 <-6.5 <- 9.8 
  • Somerville - 8.2 <-10.6 <-12.8 <-17.1 <-23.0 <-23.9 <-25.2 <-24.6 <-20.9 <-18.2 <-18.7 <-20.8 <-21.7 <-27.9 <-33.2 <-40.2 <-54.7 <-56.5 <-43.2 <-40.3 <-48.4 <- 47.8 <-39.5 <-35.9 <-8.2 <-17.8 <-10.3 <-7.4 <-7.1 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-4.9 <-5.2 <-7.0 <-7.9 <-6.5 <-4.7 <-3.4 
  • Springfield - 25.8 <-36.9 <-43.7 <-48.7 <-47.8 <-45.0 <-40.1 <-29.3 <-26.8 <-32.8 <-40.0 <-42.9 <-48.1 <-63.7 <-75.3 <-86.2 <-101.2 <-96.1 <-81.6 <-80.6 <-84.1 <- 93.0 <-80.4 <65.2 <-56.9 <-38.5 <-26.3 <-18.1 <-11.3 <-14.7 <-14.6 <-9.6 <-5.7 <-3.7 <-3.6 <-2.8 <-3.5 <- 4.5 
  • State - 11.6 <-15.2 <-19.2 <-23.8 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-26.5 <-22.2 <-19.5 <-19.2 <-20.7 <-23.2 <-29.2 <-37.3 <-47.6 <-58.3 <-73.8 <-77.0 <-64.9 <-61.7 <-64.9 <-68.1 <- 53.3 <- 35.5 <-31.2 <-22.4 <-16.3 <-12.7 <-9.3 <-8.5 <-7.6 <-6.2 <-5.1 <-4.4 <-4.4 <-4.5 <-4.0 <- 3.8
Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:
  • Green - 96 (20 more than last week) (Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Yellow - 80 (30 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Orange - 132 (12 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Red - 34 (15 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
  • Maroon- 8 (13 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Purple- 0 (same as last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black - 1 (same as last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).
Summary: Things continue to improve.  Just as when Green through Orange were all decreasing and Red through Purple were all increasing it was a really bad sign, when the top 5 ranges are all staying the same or shrinking and only the bottom 2 are increasing, that's a good sign.  With that said, and while 223 locals saw better 2-week averages than they did last week and only 47 saw worse, those figures belie a change which I would rather not see expand: 7 fewer locales did better this week and 7 more did worse than the same calculation last week (ie, 230 were better last week than the week before and 40 were worse last week than the week before).  With that said, as we drive the numbers down, it's expected that we won't continue to see locales continue to all do better... we're not trying to defeat COVID-19 afterall, we're just trying to hold it at bay and get back to a normal where COVID-19 is a fact of life (I've never been clear on why we don't try to wipe it out like a few countries have, but there we, and many others, are)

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. 

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