Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 20-Jun-2021 Edition

I'm excited for the reduced COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths in MA but if you're making any argument and say something as simply factually wrong as "we have had days with no deaths" you lose me right there and lose my faith in the rest of what you claim. There have been days where we didn't know of the new deaths yet, but looking at the most recent MA report, it's clear as day that there have been no days going back to March 17, 2020 that have not had at least 1 death. In fact, as of now, we've only seen 1 day since March 20, 2020 where we've only had 1 death, never mind none. Why can't we be excited about the reduced numbers of deaths without lying or misleading about it.... perhaps it's because it doesn't paint the picture of being done with COVID-19...

Ok, so, with that out of the way... cases do continue to decrease... and that decrease continues too slow. Last summer, the lowest 7-day average started on 28-Jun-2020... will we see the same climb in cases start in July this year with the vaccination rate being countered by the lack of restrictions and the sense from the news that we're done with COVID-19? We are well below the lowest we reached last summer already (156.6 cases per day / 2.3 cases per day per 100,000 people)
Week - Avg Cases per Day (Avg Cases per day per 100,000 people)
May 09-May 15 - 501.4 (7.3)
May 16-May 22 - 356.9 (5.2)
May 23-May 29 - 195.3 (2.8)
May 30-Jun 05 - 133.6 (1.9)
Jun 06 -Jun 12 - 96.7 (1.4)
Jun 13 -Jun 18 - 71.3 (1.0) *This past week is far from complete but this is a very rough expectation of what we'll see based on the same calculation returning 96.2 avg cases per day for the previous week on June 13)

We have seen a further decline in deaths this past week, which is also good but it would be REALLY nice to see a day without a death.
Week - Avg Deaths per Day
May 09-May 15 - 9.6
May 16-May 22 - 8.3
May 23-May 29 - 5.3
May 30-Jun 05 - 4.9
Jun 06 -Jun 12 - 4.6
Jun 13 -Jun 18 - 2.8 *This one's a little less certain given that the same calculation returned 3.7 for the week of Jun 06 on June 13. Here's hoping it remains on target
Just like with cases per day, we see fewer deaths per day now than we had at the lowest point last summer, which came much later than the low point in the spread (03-Aug-2020 kicked off the lowest 7 days in 2020 with 12.6 deaths per day)

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed.

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