Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 19-Jul-2021 Edition
I'm struggling to find a clever way to start this post so let's just dive straight into the numbers instead of having any kind of cleverness...
Last week we now see that we had at least 218 cases per day, which is nearly twice the preceding week's 114.6. I expect that by this week's end we'll find, with the cases that we learn about in the next few days of cases from the end of last week, that last week did indeed pass the 229.2 cases per day that would mark a doubling week-over-week. For those doing longer term math, the current count of cases is roughly 178% that of 2 weeks before last. Also, there is no weekday last week that was below 213 (and that's likely to increase tomorrow) and to find another single-day increase that reaches 213, you have to go back 2 months to May. Also, not for nothing but you know how far back you have to go to find a time when we doubled the cases week-over-week? Back to March 2020!
Hospitalizations also continue to tick up. The week of July 4th, we saw an average increase in bed use of 1.14 beds per day... last week is was up to 3.42. ICU increases are remaining steady at 0.71 more ICU beds being used per day for the second week in a row. Last week also saw the second week in the last three that Intubations increased.
Last week we now see that we had at least 218 cases per day, which is nearly twice the preceding week's 114.6. I expect that by this week's end we'll find, with the cases that we learn about in the next few days of cases from the end of last week, that last week did indeed pass the 229.2 cases per day that would mark a doubling week-over-week. For those doing longer term math, the current count of cases is roughly 178% that of 2 weeks before last. Also, there is no weekday last week that was below 213 (and that's likely to increase tomorrow) and to find another single-day increase that reaches 213, you have to go back 2 months to May. Also, not for nothing but you know how far back you have to go to find a time when we doubled the cases week-over-week? Back to March 2020!
Hospitalizations also continue to tick up. The week of July 4th, we saw an average increase in bed use of 1.14 beds per day... last week is was up to 3.42. ICU increases are remaining steady at 0.71 more ICU beds being used per day for the second week in a row. Last week also saw the second week in the last three that Intubations increased.
The only bright spot? the laggiest of lagging indicators we have, deaths, has not yet returned to averaging more than 2 per day.... sure, we may not have gotten down to 1 yet but still... that's... something? Again though, deaths are the laggiest indicator. Last year, cases started increasing again in at the very start of July but deaths fluctuated in the low teens through September.
Stay safe. Stay informed.
Stay safe. Stay informed.
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