Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 31-Jul-2021 Edition

Let's take a moment to compare rates from this summer to those of the second half of 2020:

First, let's just note that the July 4-10 average rate of 117.4 cases per day or 1.7 cases per 100,000 people per day was lower than any week since all the way back before the first wave peaked... we hadn't gotten back down to that point last summer.  The best we did was a week where we reached 156.6 cases per day or 2.3 cases per 100,000 people per day.  This wasn't even the lowest we'd seen this summer... we actually got down to 65.9 cases per day or 1.0 cases per 100,000 people per day the week of June 20.

Ok, so, July 4-10 was 3 weeks ago...
2 weeks ago we were up to 263.4 cases per day or 3.8 cases per 100,000 people per day.  In terms of the summer of 2020, this equates to late July/early August. when we fluctuated right around averaging 270 per day for a few weeks (3.9 cases per 100,000 per day).

1 week ago... last week... last week we've reached 472.6 cases per day or 6.9 cases per 100,000 people per day.  This skips us from early August all the way through to mid September where the week of 20-Sep-2020 we saw 450 cases per day (6.5 cases per 100,000 per day).

So... we went from below where we were in mid-late June 2020 to where we were in mid-late September 2020 in the course of less than 2 weeks.  

And if you needed further evidence that we've attained late September levels of spread, let's take a look at the the single-day counts for Monday and Tuesday of this past week wherein we already know we had more than 700 each day.  We saw only 2 days in all of September that reached 700... and only 4 days that even reached 600.  

Given what we've been seeing in the patterns lately, I expect that by Monday we'll see Wednesday topping 700 and by Wednesday we'll see every weekday from this past week about that point.

Stay safe. Stay informed.

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