Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 13-Aug-2021 Edition

Alright, so, let's start off with the good news: my prediction that last week would, by now, be known to have reached reached the average 1015.7 cases per day that we saw October 18-24 2020 did not come to fruition.... we currently have an average of 988.7 for last week.  

So, that's the good news, right?  What about the bad news?  Well, while this is less than that week of October 18-24 2020, it also is 38% higher than the previous week (Jul 25-31 was 716 cases per day).

This is good news of a sort, because the week-over-week increase percentages that we're seeing are slowing down.  We went from 124% to 81% to 50% and now may be as low as 38% (though it's likely that will creep up ever so slightly still).

Ok, we had good news, we had bad news, we had good news... you know there's another shoe about to drop and here it is: Deaths this week have been 6-8 every day thus far.  The last time we saw 4 days that were higher than 5 deaths on each day was back in the end of May.  Hell, even if we saw no further deaths from Thursday onward this week, the daily deaths would be at 3.7 per day which is higher than 6 of the last 7 weeks.  Oh, and Wednesday's update where deaths for the last 2 weeks ticked up slightly to 2.1 and 2.9 respectively has again ticked up to 2.4 and 3.0 respectively and we've lost another day here we thought we had no deaths... so we're still at only 1 day in the last 1 year and 5 months where we've seen 0 deaths from COVID-19.  

Stay safe. Stay informed. 

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