Most recent Middlesex, MA covid tracking shows just over 2,000 copies per mL, suggesting we were seeing roughly 270 cases per 100,000 people per day (friendly reminder that the red flag for us was initially set to 8 cases per 100,000 people per day, then relaxed to 16, and then to 25 as we tried to avoid closing all schools all the time... so we're over 10 times the most relaxed threshold).
See that little uptick at the end of each graph? This didn't happen in 2022 but did in 2023. We understood the goal in 2022 (to some degree) but since ... is there some portion of the population who says "covid spread must be down so let's go nuts"? I suspect this is partially colleges reconvening their students on campuses where in 2022 they were still trying to get their students to maintain some precautions and they haven't been since... but I also don't think this is just college campuses.
Last week is already known to be another week of increased spread, already known to have seen 13% more cases than the week prior and already surpassing all but 1 week... and honestly, I wouldn't be surprised to see it top that week by this Wednesday. Contributing to my expectation about Wednesday is that we already know that 1 day was above all but 8 days outside of last week from throughout the pandemic and 3 are the highest single-day case counts we've ever seen (prior to last week, the highest single-day case count was 9031... last week we know had single-day case counts of 9101, 9683, and 9820). The first 5 days suggest that deaths continued to climb (we don't have any figures from Friday or Saturday yet but the average from Sunday through Thursday are higher than the prior week's daily average and Thursday's known count will definitely increase tomorrow as the data continues to come in). Stay safe. Stay informed.
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