Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 30-Sep-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

  • Blue - Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Low transmission" from the CDC)
  • Green - Greater than or equal to 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Substantial transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day (this and above is approximately the "High transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
Information closest to the city/town name is the most recent information and spans backward in time so that a comparison can be made not just to the worst spread or the last few weeks' but going back to last summer.... Aka, it's a reminder that as good as things look in comparison to January, we're not back to where we were yet. 
  • City/Town
    • 30-Sep-2020 to 01-Jul-2021 (date of report)
    • 24-Jun-2021 to 01-Apr-2021
    • 25-Mar-2021 to 07-Jan-2021
    • 31-Dec-2020 to 01-Oct-2020
    • 24-Sep-2020 to 27-Aug-2020
  • Amherst
    • 37.6 <- 83.0 <- 68.0 <- 12.8 <- 5.9 <- 5.7 <- 5.3 <- 3.9 <- 1.2 <- 1.8 <- 0.9 <- 1.1 <- 2.0
    • 0.9 <- 0.0 <- 0.2 <- 0.9 <- 2.7 <- 5.9 <- 6.4 <- 7.3 <- 11.9 <- 15.1 <- 16.5 <- 17.4 <- 20.4
    • 26.6 <- 39.0 <- 49.0 <- 59.3 <- 80.2 <- 118.0 <- 91.9 <- 26.6 <- 16.7 <- 24.5 <- 26.4 <- 23.1 
  • Arlington
    • 10.1 <- 12.2 <- 7.8 <- 8.1 <- 10.4 <- 9.7 <- 9.5 <- 7.3 <- 4.5 <- 3.9 <- 2.7 <1.3 <- 0.6 <- 0.0
    • 0.2 <- 0.5 <- 0.3 <- 0.9 <-1.6 <-2.5 <-3.6 <-3.4 <-4.8 <-8.6 <-11.1 <-10.6 <-10.1
    • 10.8 <-11.8 <-11.5 <-12.5 <-11.8 <-15.0 <-20.3 <-22.1 <-24.6 <-31.0 <-32.6 <-27.4
    • 27.4 <-26.6 <-31.3 <-27.6 <-13.5 <-10.6 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-6.7 <-3.9 <-0.9 <-2.2 <-3.0 <-1.9 
    • 2.5 <-2.7 <-1.4 <-0.6 <-0.6
  • Boston
    • 19.7 <- 24.9 <- 23.4 <- 19.9 <- 19.7 <- 17.6 <- 16.9 <- 15.2 <- 11.4 <- 7.8 <- 4.4 <- 2.0 <1.0 <- 1.0 
    • 1.0 <- 2.2 <- 2.8 <- 3.8 <-5.8 <-8.1 <-11.2 <-14.2 <-17.8 <-23.7 <-32.0 <-35.7 <-29.9
    • 23.3 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-23.7 <-24.8 <-29.5 <-36.9 <-47.8 <-56.5 <-69.0 <-72.2 <-60.6
    • -56.6 <-60.6 <-63.7 <-48.0 <-34.0 <-33.0 <-24.5 <-19.2 <-16.4 <-12.0 <-10.9 <-10.2 <-8.6 <-8.0 
    • 5.8 <-5.8 <-7.8 <-7.1 <- 6.6 
  • Cambridge
    • 16.6 <- 18.8 <- 18.4 <- 17.9 <- 17.1 <- 13.9 <- 11.4 <- 11.3 <- 11.4 <- 8.1 <- 4.0 <- 2.0 <0.9 <- 0.5 
    • 0.4 <- 1.7 <- 1.8 <1.4 <-2.4 <-3.1 <-5.7 <-8.7 <-12.5 <-19.5 <-20.9 <-21.9 <-22.1 
    • 16.3 <-15.8 <-15.7 <-13.7 <-12.8 <-13.6 <-20.1 <-28.1 <-32.9 <-34.1 <-32.6 <-27.9 
    • 26.0 <-28.9 <- 29.4 <-23.1 <- 23.5 <-20.1 <-9.9 <-5.8 <-3.9 <-4.2 <-3.7 <-2.7 <-3.1 <-3.0 
    • 2.4 <-1.8 <-1.6 <-2.2 <-2.3 
  • Chelsea
    • 20.3 <- 22.1 <- 14.1 <- 16.6 <- 21.7 <- 15.9 <16.5 <- 17.6 <- 12.0 <- 7.2 <- 4.5 <- 1.7 <- 1.7 <- 2.5 
    • 2.3 <- 1.7 <- 2.7 <- 7.9 <-13.9 <-15.3 <-17.4 <-28.5 <-42.0 <-42.7 <-39.1 <-31.3 <-23.0 
    • 20.7 <-19.0 <-28.1 <-37.1 <-39.1 <-46.4 <-56.7 <-83.2 <-109.5 <-132.0 <-137.4 <-125.2 
    • 124.2 <-135.2 <-152.5 <-106.4 <-70.7 <-73.8 <-60.5 <-48.0 <-34.9 <-26.9 <-30.2 <-24.3 <-18.6 <-20.5 
    • 20.9 <- 26.4 <-31.3 <-30.0 <-22.2 
  • Fitchburg
    • 52.1 <- 42.1 <- 26.5 <- 22.6 <- 24.4 <- 15.4 <- 8.8 <- 8.3 <- 6.27 <- 4.4 <- 3.1 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 <1.7 
    • 2.0 <- 3.1 <- 3.2 <- 4.8 <-7.6 <-12.0 <-16.1 <-21.5 <-24.1 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-21.7 <-18.8 
    • 19.8 <-20.5 <-27.0 <-32.6 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-38.3 <-47.5 <-57.8 <-81.9 <-95.3 <-80.5 
    • 81.1 <-85.0 <-81.9 <-62.6 <-50.5 <-56.4 <-50.2 <-41.0 <-25.6 <-6.9 <-3.9 <-2.5 <-1.5 <-1.5 
    • 2.5 <-3.2 <-2.4 <- 2.0 <-3.7 
  • Holliston
    • 13.5 <- 16.1 <- 10.4 <- 7.3 <- 12.5 <18.2 <- 18.7 <- 14.6 <- 9.9 <- 3.6 <- 0.5 <- 0.0 <- 0.0 <- 0.5 
    • 0.5 <- 1.0 <- 2.6 <- 2.6 <-1.6 <-4.1 <-10.4 <-12.5 <-14.1 <-16.7 <-16.7 <-16.1 <-15.1 
    • 18.2 <-19.3 <-17.7 <-17.7 <-14.1 <-15.1 <-19.3 <-28.6 <-40.0 <-48.9 <-51.5 <-45.4 
    • 46.3 <-38.5 <- 33.3 <-23.1 <-24.9 <-19.7 <-17.1 <-17.1 <-13.0 <-9.8 <-7.8 <-5.7 <-6.7 <-8.8 
    • 6.2 <-3.6 <-5.2 <-2.6 <-1.0 
  • Lawrence
    • 23.2 <- 25.3 <- 24.8 <- 23.0 <- 24.6 <21.4 <- 22.4 <- 18.6 <- 10.0 <- 6.4 <- 3.7 <- 2.5 <- 2.1 <- 2.2 
    • 2.4 <- 5.2 <- 8.5 <- 11.2 <-14.3 <-19.4 <-26.7 <-36.0 <-37.9 <-45.2 <-49.1 <-43.9 <-34.1 
    • 26.8 <-23.8 <-22.0 <-30.1 <-38.1 <-43.5 <-53.9 <-77.8 <-101.5 <-164.7 <-162.5 <-137.2 
    • 139.2 <-166.0 <-205.7 <-169.6 <-110.5 <-110.8 <-88.4 <-64.3 <-57.3 <-49.3 <-41.2 <-37.6 <-36.5 <-22.5 
    • 14.1 <-18.3 <-17.0 <-12.6 <-9.5 
  • Lowell
    • 22.0 <- 22.8 <- 21.8 <- 19.9 <- 20.8 <- 19.0 <- 18.1 <- 16.8 <- 10.5 <- 5.5 <- 2.4 <- 1.7 <0.4 <- 0.1 
    • 2.2 <- 2.9 <- 3.7 <- 6.1 <-7.3 <-11.8 <-20.3 <-28.5 <-35.5 <-45.0 <-53.3 <-54.8 <-47.4 
    • 33.9 <-25.6 <-21.6 <-24.2 <-30.3 <-37.0 <-47.0 <-63.7 <-71.3 <-83.0 <-85.5 <-79.3 
    • 92.4 <-118.5 <- 139.1 <-110.0 <-81.9 <-67.4 <-46.1 <-29.8 <-19.7 <-13.9 <-15.2 <-16.7 <-12.3 <-8.1 
    • 6.4 <-6.1 <-4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
  • Lynn
    • 25.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.6 <- 21.1 <- 19.8 <- 17.6 <- 15.8 <- 12.1 <- 8.3 <- 5.2 <- 3.1 <- 1.9 <1.2 <- 2.3 
    • 4.0 <- 4.0 <- 3.3 <- 6.7 <-9.6 <-10.7 <-13.0 <-18.1 <-24.4 <-29.2 <-32.9 <-36.6 <-35.9 
    • 31.7 <-24.1 <-19.5 <-24.7 <-30.7 <-43.0 <-55.0 <-66.6 <-88.0 <-117.1 <-122.8 <-110.8 
    • 103.9 <-117.4 <-133.4 <-100.5 <-71.4 <-64.5 <-48.4 <-38.3 <-27.6 <-18.7 <-13.6 <-11.2 <-12.0 <-15.7 
    • 13.2 <-9.6 <-12.2 <-17.0 <-22.2 
  • Malden
    • 18.8 <- 16.5 <- 14.7 <- 12.7 <- 12.0 <- 15.5 <- 15.2 <- 12.5 <- 9.6 <- 5.2 <- 2.1 <1.4 <- 0.7 <- 0.7 
    • 2.3 <- 3.3 <- 3.5 <- 4.7 <-5.1 <-6.9 <-9.8 <-13.9 <-19.3 <-26.2 <-28.2 <-28.8 <-30.7 
    • 29.2 <-24.3 <-17.3 <-16.8 <-17.0 <-23.2 <-39.5 <-53.5 <-65.5 <-84.5 <-86.0 <-72.4 
    • 68.1 <-73.4 <-81 <- 64.0 <36.9 <-35.3 <-26.1 <-17.1 <-13.8 <-12.2 <-11.9 <-10.9 <-6.3 <-4.3 
    • 6.1 <-7.3 <-5.9 <-3.7 <-3.0 
  • Medford
    • 20.5 <- 23.5 <- 21.0 <- 16.0 <- 16.1 <- 16.7 <14.1 <- 10.2 <- 9.4 <9.3 <- 4.8 <- 1.2 <- 1.2 <- 1.5 
    • 1.2 <- 0.8 <- 3.5 <- 2.2 <-3.5 <-5.9 <-8.1 <-12.8 <-19.5 <-22.7 <-25.5 <-27.0 <-24.0 
    • 22.3 <-18.9 <-14.8 <-15.9 <-16.3 <-21.4 <-31.0 <-40.2 <-52.8 <-70.5 <-73.5 <-63.1 
    • 62.0 <-62.5 <- 67.1 <-53.8 <-26.4 <-24.1 <-18.8 <-11.6 <-8.8 <-7.2 <-6.9 <-5.8 <-4.8 <-4.7 
    • 4.7 <-5.4 <-4.1 <-3.3 <-4.1 
  • Quincy
    • 13.0 <- 13.7 <- 12.5 <- 15.6 <18.6 <- 16.0 <12.6 <- 8.6 <- 5.6 <- 4.2 <- 3.9 <- 2.3 <0.5 <- 0.4 
    • 0.3 <- 0.0 <- 0.8 <- 1.9 <-2.0 <-3.6 <-6.6 <-11.1 <-14.4 <-16.0 <-18.3 <-21.5 <-21.8 
    • 20.5 <-19.8 <-15.9 <-17.0 <-20.5 <-24.4 <-33.8 <-46.1 <-50.7 <-59.6 <-65.0 <-55.6 
    • 52.4 <-54.5 <- 55.8 <-41.9 <-19.3 <-13.6 <-10.3 <-8.5 <-6.9 <-6.3 <-6.9 <-6.4 <-4.8 <-3.7 
    • 3.2 <-2.9 <-2.6 <-3.3 <-2.8 
  • Salem
    • 24.0 <- 26.3 <- 23.6 <- 15.7 <- 15.4 <- 13.2 <11.6 <- 10.2 <- 6.4 <- 4.1 <- 2.7 <- 1.6 <0.6 <- 0.2 
    • 0.2 <- 1.0 <- 1.3 <- 3.7 <-8.7 <-13.0 <-14.6 <-15.9 <-19.4 <-23.3 <-26.8 <-25.2 <-19.7 
    • 16.3 <-20.0 <-18.6 <-19.0 <-27.8 <-32.8 <-34.3 <-50.9 <-69.0 <-86.8 <-89.2 <-73.5 
    • 77.6 <-86.9 <-88.7 <-70.8 <-50.6 <-41.9 <-28.2 <-16.8 <-9.8 <-6.5 <-5.9 <-6.7 <-6.5 <-4.4 
    • 3.8 <-4.9 <-4.9 <-6.5 <- 9.8 
  • Somerville
    • 17.2 <- 20.5 <- 15.7 <- 13.3 <- 14.5 <- 13.1 <11.8 <- 12.8 <- 10.1 <- 5.7 <- 3.2 <1.2 <- 1.5 <1.6 
    • 0.5 <- 0.9 <- 1.3 <- 3.1 <-4.2 <-5.4 <-8.2 <-10.6 <-12.8 <-17.1 <-23.0 <-23.9 <-25.2 
    • 24.6 <-20.9 <-18.2 <-18.7 <-20.8 <-21.7 <-27.9 <-33.2 <-40.2 <-54.7 <-56.5 <-43.2 
    • 40.3 <-48.4 <- 47.8 <-39.5 <-35.9 <-8.2 <-17.8 <-10.3 <-7.4 <-7.1 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-4.9 <-5.2 
    • 7.0 <-7.9 <-6.5 <-4.7 <-3.4 
  • Springfield
    • 52.6 <- 63.3 <- 55.1 <- 51.8 <- 47.2 <38.4 <31.5 <- 21.5 <- 13.7 <- 9.2 <- 6.6 <- 2.5 <1.5 <1.9 
    • 1.7 <- 2.9 <- 5.8 <- 9.3 <-14.0 <-18.7 <-25.8 <-36.9 <-43.7 <-48.7 <-47.8 <-45.0 <-40.1 
    • 29.3 <-26.8 <-32.8 <-40.0 <-42.9 <-48.1 <-63.7 <-75.3 <-86.2 <-101.2 <-96.1 <-81.6 
    • 80.6 <-84.1 <- 93.0 <-80.4 <65.2 <-56.9 <-38.5 <-26.3 <-18.1 <-11.3 <-14.7 <-14.6 <-9.6 <-5.7 
    • 3.7 <-3.6 <-2.8 <-3.5 <- 4.5 
  • State
    • 22.6 <- 24.8 <- 23.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.2 <- 17.4 <15.7 <- 13.0 <- 9.3 <- 5.7 <- 3.1 <1.5 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 
    • 1.0 <1.6 <- 2.2 <- 3.6 <-5.7 <-8.2 <-11.6 <-15.2 <-19.2 <-23.8 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-26.5 
    • 22.2 <-19.5 <-19.2 <-20.7 <-23.2 <-29.2 <-37.3 <-47.6 <-58.3 <-73.8 <-77.0 <-64.9 
    • 61.7 <-64.9 <-68.1 <53.3 <35.5 <-31.2 <-22.4 <-16.3 <-12.7 <-9.3 <-8.5 <-7.6 <-6.2 <-5.1 
    • 4.4 <-4.4 <-4.5 <-4.0 <- 3.8
Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:
  • Blue - 62 (3 more than last week) (Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Green - 4 (3 more than last week) (Greater than 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Yellow - 13 (7 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Orange - 91 (19 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Red -  84 (20 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
  • Maroon- 74 (6 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Purple- 22 (5 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black - 1 (1 fewer than last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).

Summary: One week does not make a trend but this week's update looks pretty good and it's wide-spread.  

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay informed. 

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