Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 24-Nov-2021 Edition

New hospitalizations increased even more drastically last week.  The new hospitalizations last week was higher than any week going back to mid April and all of June7 through the end of October of 2020.  

Time period             - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                - 15.0
July 2021                 - 19.0 (last week of the month was 34)
August 2021            - 61.1 (1st week of the month was 42.7 and it increased steadily to 72 the last week)
September 2021       - 72.4
October 2021           - 60.3
Oct 31-Nov 6 2021  - 58.7
Nov 7-13 2021         - 68.1
Nov 14-21 2021       - 88.3

The first 3 days last week as of the writing of the weekly hospital use update report had us at 83.7... this week, the first days stand at 96.3.  For reference, that's higher than any week going all the way back to mid February.

Doubling the week-over-week increase in new hospitalizations has inevitably brought with it an increase in hospital use.  The week of Oct 31 we saw an average daily change to headcount of -0.9 (yes, we saw 6 fewer people in hospitals at the end of the week than had been there at the start of the week).  The week of Nov 11 saw patient headcount increase by 6.1 people per day.  Last week saw that increase triple to 18.6.  As of today, we have more people in the hospitals than any day going all the way back to March 2 as well as any day in 2020 between June 27 and November 14.  Not for nothing, but 38% of the people in the hospital right now were fully vaccinated when they got there, which is slightly more than we had back in mid September through Mid October but not too far out of line (we've bounced around from 32-40%)

Last week, the known cases for the previous week's Monday increased by 58% between the previous Wednesday and last week's Wednesday report.  Last week's monday saw an even more dramatic shift of increasing by 70% between last week's Wednesday report and today's.... and this week's Monday, while lower than the currently known count for last week's Monday, is still higher than any single day (aside from 2) prior to last week going back all the way to February 9, 2021, is already higher than any single day from April 23, 2020 through November 8, 2020, and is already higher than all but 5 days in our first wave.

June 2021                 -   91.7 cases per day (  1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                 -  364.6 cases per day (  5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021            -1258.5 cases per day (18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021      -1591.1 cases per day (23.08 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021          -1207.4 cases per day (17.52 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Oct 24-30 2021       -1136.4 cases per day (16.49 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Oct 31-Nov 6 2021 -1422.9 cases per day (20.64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 7-13 2021        -1811.4 cases per day (26.28 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 14-21 2021      -2437.3 cases per day (35.36 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Happy Thanksgiving everyone.  Be prepared to see drastically worse numbers coming out in 2 weeks about the spread caused from this week's travel and get togethers.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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