Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 29-Dec-2021 Edition

For the 7th straight week, new hospitalizations escalated further.

Time period             - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                -  15.0
July 2021                 -  19.0 (last week of the month was 34)
August 2021            -  61.1 (1st week of the month was 42.7 and it increased steadily to 72 the last week)
September 2021      -  72.4
October 2021          -  60.3
Oct 31-Nov 6 2021 -  58.7 
Nov 7-13 2021        -  68.1
Nov 14-20 2021      -  88.3
Nov 21-27 2021      -100.1
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021 -122.4
Dec 5-11 2021         -162.9
Dec 12-18 2021       -177.9
Dec 19-26 2021       -191.7

The first three days of the week have tended to have lower new hospitalizations than the average for the week end up having (not surprising since we're increasing the new hospitalizations), and this week those 3 days average out to 202.5.

Hospitals continue fill up unsurprisingly and we have slipped back another week in terms of the last time we've seen the levels we are at now for all 3 hospital uses tracked (general bed use, ICU bed use, and intubations)... now back to 29-January.

Cases had risen dramatically last week and now have done so once again, bringing us now to higher spread than we've ever seen in MA.  

June 2021                 -   91.7 cases per day (  1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                 -  364.7 cases per day (  5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021            -1258.5 cases per day (18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021      -1589.2 cases per day (23.05 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021          -1204.7 cases per day (17.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Oct 24-30 2021       -1136.0 cases per day (16.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Oct 31-Nov 6 2021 -1420.0 cases per day (20.60 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 7-13 2021        -1812.4 cases per day (26.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 14-20 2021      -2477.9 cases per day (35.95 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 21-28 2021      -2335.7 cases per day (33.89 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021 -4396.1 cases per day (63.78 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 5-11 2021         -4378.3 cases per day (63.51 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 12-18 2021       -5162.3 cases per day (74.89 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 19-26 2021       -6399.1 cases per day (92.84 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Take that 6,399.1 cases per day with a grain of salt... because the count for Dec 12-18 increased by about 103 cases per day between last Wednesday and today... so that 6,399 cases per day is very much expected to rise significantly still.  And to put this into a bit of perspective, the highest spread for a given week we saw in our first wave was 2,176 cases per day and for last winter was 6,074.  

With the reporting of cases confirmed from just this past Monday still coming in, the known tally for that day is already higher than any other day, period, bar none.... and not by a little either.  Before last week, there were 2 days that had a single-day case count higher than 8,000... those days were December 28, 2020 and January 4, 2021, with 8,369 and 9,031 cases respectively... last week saw 4 such days (Monday through Thursday, proceeding from 9,158 to 9,906 to 10,556 to 8,061)... with that information put forward to demonstrate the highest of the single-day case counts for the entirety of the pandemic in mind, consider this number for Monday: 12,586.  And before I move off the cases, one more thing to think about with this past Monday's known cases... last week's report showed that Monday's case count at 6,232... it rose by roughly 2/3 between that report and today's report... that should give you a pretty good idea about how high this past Monday's case count might be found to be when all the figures are in.

Deaths are continuing at levels we last saw in March, now averaging 27 deaths per day.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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