Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 05-Jan-2022 Edition

For the 9th straight week, new hospitalizations escalated further.

Time period             - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                 -  15.0
July 2021                  -  19.0 
August 2021             -  61.1 
September 2021       -  72.4
October 2021           -  60.3
November 2021       -  82.5
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021 -122.4
Dec 5-11 2021         -162.9
Dec 12-18 2021       -177.9
Dec 19-26 2021       -192.1
Dec 27-Jan 1 2021   -260.4

The first three days of the week have tended to have lower new hospitalizations than the average for the week end up having (not surprising since we're increasing the new hospitalizations), and this week those 3 days average out to 328!

Hospitals continue fill up.  We're now 2 patients short of the highest patient count we saw last winter.  The number of days with more people in the ICU from last winter is down to 21.  The number of days with more patients intubated from last winter is down to 22.

Cases had risen dramatically the last two weeks... and now we've doubled week-over-week.  We're now seeing more than twice the spread as any previous time in the pandemic.  

June 2021                 -     91.7 cases per day (  1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                 -    364.7 cases per day (  5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021            -  1258.6 cases per day (18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021      -  1589.2 cases per day (23.05 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021          -  1204.4 cases per day (17.47 cases per 100,000 people per day)

November 2021      -  2300.9 cases per day (33.38 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Nov 28-Dec 4 2021 -  4399.1 cases per day (63.92 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Dec 5-11 2021         -  4383.3 cases per day (63.59 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 12-18 2021       -  5207.6 cases per day (75.55 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 19-26 2021       -  6661.3 cases per day (96.64 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Dec 27-Jan 1 2021   -14468.0  cases per day (209.89  cases per 100,000 people per day)

Take that 14468 cases per day with a grain of salt... because the count for Dec 19-26 increased by about 260 cases per day between last Wednesday and today... so that 14,468 cases per day is very much expected to rise significantly still.  And again, at 14,468 cases per day, we're already much higher than any spread we'd seen previously.

With the reporting of cases confirmed from just this past Monday still coming in, the known tally for that day is already higher than any other day aside from the prior Wednseday... Last week's single-day case counts for Monday through Wednesday were more than twice any prior to December 20, 2021... and Monday's single-day case count is higher than both Monday and Tuesday already.

And these reported cases are just those from the organized testing... people home testing that do not then go get tested formally are not included.  The wastewater tracking confirms that many are not getting tested formally and that the situation is much bleaker than even the case counts above suggest.  The tracker suggests we're not seeing three times or four times the spread that we'd seen last winter... but five to six times that spread!

Deaths continue to climb, rising from 28 deaths per day the preceding week to 37 last week.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.