Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 09-Feb-2022 Edition

We continue to improve the terrible situation we're in... but it's still pretty terrible.

New hospitalizations are back to where they were at the start of December, which is great news, but it's still twice what they were for November and 11 times what it was back in June.

Time period              - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                  -  15.0
July 2021                   -  19.0 
August 2021              -  61.1 
September 2021        -  72.4
October 2021            -  60.3
November 2021        -  82.5
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021  -122.4
Dec 5-11 2021          -162.9
Dec 12-18 2021        -177.9
Dec 19-26 2021        -192.1
Dec 27 '21-Jan 1 '22 -260.4
Jan 2-8 2022             -361.7
Jan 9-15 2022           -436.7
Jan 16-22 2022         -360.4
Jan 23-29 2022         -272.7
Jan 30-Feb 5 2022    -166.6

One quick comment before we move on from this, in the first wave, we only saw 3 weeks that had higher than 100 new hospitalizations and we didn't reach 140 per day.  We only saw 9 weeks that were higher than 166 in our second wave and then never reached that rate again from February 2021 through the start of December 2021.

With the new hospitalizations decreasing, we also saw a decrease in overall hospital use, ICU use, and intubations.... but those decreases are slowing already.  And we're still seeing 5 times as many hospital beds used than we saw in all of June and July last year.  And we're still at higher rates of all three categories than we had seen from late February 2021 through early December 2021.

Cases are in a similar state... 

June 2021                  -     91.7 cases per day (    1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                  -    364.8 cases per day (    5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021             -  1259.0 cases per day (  18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021       -  1589.5 cases per day (  23.06 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021           -  1204.5 cases per day (  17.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
November 2021       -   2301.6 cases per day (  33.39 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021  -  4398.4 cases per day (  63.81 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 5-11 2021          -  4384.4 cases per day (  63.61 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 12-18 2021        -  5219.6 cases per day (  75.72 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 19-26 2021        -  6704.9 cases per day (  97.27 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 27 '21-Jan 1 '22 -14969.7  cases per day (217.17 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 2-8 2022             -23176.7  cases per day (336.24 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 9-15 2022           -16215.3  cases per day (235.24 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 16-22 2022         -  9936.0  cases per day (144.15 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 23-29 2022         -  5532.0  cases per day (  80.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 30-Feb 5 2022    -  3135.7  cases per day (  45.49 cases per 100,000 people per day)

So, we're clearly reducing the spread, and dramatically, which is great, but we're also still seeing higher spread than we saw in all of the first wave and all but 8 weeks in the second wave.

Deaths appear to have finally stopped increasing, which is also a good sign.

June 2021                  -  3.8 per day
July 2021                   -  2.7 per day
August 2021              -  6.3 per day
September 2021        - 13.2 per day
October 2021            - 12.8 per day
November 2021        - 14.6 per day
Nov 28-Dec 4 2021  - 21.3 per day
Dec 5-11 2021          - 24.4 per day
Dec 12-18 2021        - 29.6 per day
Dec 19-25 2021        - 29.9 per day
Dec 26 '21-Jan 1 '22 - 41.7 per day
Jan 2-8 2022             - 52.7 per day
Jan 9-15 2022           - 58.7 per day
Jan 16-22 2022         - 75.0 per day
Jan 23-29 2022         - 67.0 per day
Jan 23-29 2022         - 53.1 per day

53.1 deaths per day is still super high though.  It's more deaths than we'd seen in all but 8 weeks since the end of the first wave and it's higher than we'd seen from February 2021 through the end of the year.  With everything in our favor that we didn't have last winter, from vaccines to treatments to mask supplies, we should be doing so much better

So, in short, we're doing a lot better than we were for the last month, but we're very very far from being in any shape that one could consider remotely good.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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