Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 09-Mar-2022 Edition

New hospitalizations continue to decline but also that decline continues to slow.... I expect we'll see the increasing to return in the next couple weeks.

Time period              - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                  -  15.0
July 2021                   -  19.0 
August 2021              -  61.1 
September 2021        -  72.4
October 2021            -  60.3
November 2021        -  82.5
December 2021         -186.8
Dec 27 '21-Jan 1 '22  -260.4
Jan 2-8 2022              -361.7
Jan 9-15 2022            -436.7
Jan 16-22 2022          -360.4
Jan 23-29 2022          -272.7
Jan 30-Feb 5 2022     -166.6
Feb 6-12 2022           -118.1
Feb 13-19 2022         -  87.3
Feb 20-26 2022         -  55.9
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022   -  43.3

With the new hospitalizations decreasing, we also saw a decrease in overall hospital use, ICU use, and intubations.... but those decreases in hospital use and ICU use have slowed for the 5th week in a row.  We still have more than twice the number of patients in the hospitals than we did at any time from late May 2021 through early August 2021

Cases are in a similar state... 

June 2021                  -     91.7 cases per day (    1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                  -    364.8 cases per day (    5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021             -  1259.0 cases per day (  18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021       -  1589.5 cases per day (  23.06 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021           -  1204.5 cases per day (  17.47 cases per 100,000 people per day)
November 2021       -   2301.4 cases per day (  33.39 cases per 100,000 people per day)
December 2021        -  7469.4 cases per day (108.36 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Dec 27 '21-Jan 1 '22 -14977.9 cases per day (217.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 2-8 2022             -23186.6 cases per day (336.38 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 9-15 2022           -16257.0 cases per day (235.85 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 16-22 2022         -  9977.4 cases per day (144.75 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 23-29 2022         -  5541.7 cases per day (  80.40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 30-Feb 5 2022    -  3163.1 cases per day (  45.89 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Feb 6-12 2022          -  1961.9 cases per day (  28.46 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Feb 13-19 2022        -  1391.4 cases per day (  20.19 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Feb 20-26 2022        -    850.9 cases per day (  12.34 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022  -    745.7 cases per day (  10.82 cases per 100,000 people per day)

We're still in the CDC's "substantial" spread (second highest level) and it looks like this is about as low as we're going to get in this cycle, despite still seeing 8 times more cases per day than we had gotten down to last time.

Deaths continue to decrease as well, but we're seeing roughly 5-8 times as many people die as we did last summer.

June 2021                  -  3.8 per day
July 2021                   -  2.7 per day
August 2021              -  6.3 per day
September 2021        - 13.2 per day
October 2021            - 12.8 per day
November 2021        - 14.6 per day
December 2021        -  29.7 per day
Dec 26 '21-Jan 1 '22 - 41.9 per day
Jan 2-8 2022             - 53.3 per day
Jan 9-15 2022           - 59.1 per day
Jan 16-22 2022         - 76.7 per day
Jan 23-29 2022         - 70.3 per day
Jan 30-Feb 5 2022    - 59.3 per day
Feb 6-12 2022          - 49.7 per day
Feb 13-19 2022        - 37.0 per day
Feb 20-26 2022        - 28.0 per day
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022   - 23.1 per day

And then there's the wastewater tracking which continues to have a 7-day average higher than 100 copies/mL, compared to the low double digits that we saw both the summer of 2020 and the summer of 2021, getting down to the low teens in June 2021.  We had reached a 7-day average of 92 copies/mL in the southern region back on March 1, but we've since climbed back up to 132 as of yesterday.  In the north, we've hovered our 7-day average between 102 and 114 since February 28.  This suggests that we've entirely stalled our progress, if not already seen the spread start to increase again, even before the effects of the mask mandates being lifted would be seen.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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