Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 27-Apr-2022 Edition

So, last week was school vacation and wastewater tracking was showing a decrease in virus... so that should mean we're all good right?  Well, new hospitalizations would beg to differ as we saw another increase.

Time period              - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                  -  15.0
July 2021                   -  19.0 
August 2021              -  61.1 
September 2021        -  72.4
October 2021            -  60.3
November 2021        -  82.5
December 2021         -186.8
January 2022             -341.4
Jan 9-15 2022            -436.7 (peak week)
February 2022           -100.5
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022   -  43.3
Mar 6-12 2022          -  33.9
Mar 13-19 2022        -  29.3
Mar 20-26 2022        -  33.7
Mar 27-Apr 2 2022   -  33.4
Apr 3-9 2022             -  37.9
Apr 10-16 2022         -  55.7
Apr 17-23 2022         -  70.0

And the first three days of this week averaged 73.7 per day.  The good news is that while hospital use increased, it didn't increase as quickly as it had the prior week.

Heading to cases, last week may have broken the continual increasing spread... though the spread was still quite high at 1,963 cases per day or 28.5 cases per 100,000 people per day.   

June 2021                  -     91.7 cases per day (    1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                  -    364.8 cases per day (    5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021             -  1259.0 cases per day (  18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021       -  1589.9 cases per day (  23.06 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021            -  1204.7 cases per day (  17.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
November 2021       -   2301.8 cases per day (  33.39 cases per 100,000 people per day)
December 2021        -  7471.3 cases per day (108.38 cases per 100,000 people per day)
January 2022            -12831.4 cases per day (186.15 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 2-8 2022             -23204.7 cases per day (336.64 cases per 100,000 people per day) (peak week)
February 2022          -  1628.3 cases per day (  23.62 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022  -    750.3 cases per day (  10.88 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 6-12 2022         -    603.1 cases per day (    8.75 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 13-19 2022       -    662.3 cases per day (    9.61 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 20-26 2022       -    915.0 cases per day (  13.27 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 27-Apr 2 2022  -  1161.3 cases per day (  16.85 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Apr 3-9 2022           -  1492.4 cases per day (   21.65 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Apr 10-16 2022       -  1989.6 cases per day (   28.63 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Apr 17-23 2022       -  1963.3 cases per day (   28.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Knowledge of deaths from weeks ago continues to come in.  We now see that we never got below 4 deaths per day.  We appear to be hovering between 4 and 5.5 deaths per day.

June 2021                  -  3.4 per day
July 2021                   -  2.6 per day
August 2021              -  6.3 per day
September 2021        - 12.8 per day
October 2021            - 11.7 per day
November 2021        - 13.7 per day
December 2021        -  28.7 per day
January 2022             - 61.3 per day
Jan 16-22 2022          - 72.9 per day (peak week)
February 2022           - 37.0 per day
Feb 27-Mar 5 2022   - 24.1 per day
Mar 6-12 2022          - 13.3 per day
Mar 13-19 2022        -   6.3 per day
Mar 20-26 2022        -   4.9 per day
Mar 27-Apr 2 2022   -   5.0 per day
Apr 3-9 2022             -   5.4 per day
Apr 10-16 2022         -   4.3 per day
Apr 17-23 2022         -   4.9 per day

And we'll end with the closest to real-time indicator we have: wastewater tracking.  The amount of viral RNA in our wastewater continues to be where it was in early February.  The  trend of increasing viral RNA appears to have stabilized in the southern system and appears to even be going down in northern system.  It would be great if the downward trend in the northern region continues and the southern region would follow suit, but what are the chances?

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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