Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 11-May-2022 Edition

New hospitalizations have now gotten above 100 people getting admitted per day and is above the average for February this year, when we were coming down from our last wave, as well as November last year, when we had been increasing for months.  This time we've reached it with just about 1.5 months of increasing.

Time period              - new hospitalizations (not increased headcount, these are newly admitted patients)
June 2021                  -  15.0
July 2021                   -  19.0 
August 2021              -  61.1 
September 2021        -  72.4
October 2021            -  60.3
November 2021        -  82.5
December 2021         -186.8
January 2022             -341.4
Jan 9-15 2022            -436.7 (peak week)
February 2022           -100.5
March 2022               -  34.3
Mar 13-19 2022         -  29.3 (low week)
April 2022                  -  61.1
May 1-7 2022             -107.6

And the first three days of this week averaged 117 per day.  Hospitalizations generally saw their 5th week straight over overall increased usage and 3rd week straight of those increases getting larger.  Hospitalizations primarily due to COVID-19 related illness is also on par with where we were in February (we don't have data going back to 2021 so we can't make a comparison there).

Heading to cases, we now know that last week had a 23% week-over-week increase and, at 3,205 cases per day, we're now at 1.4 times our first peak and 69% of second first peak, and right in line with the end of November 2021.  Also, all 5 weekdays last week had single-day counts higher than any day from February 3, 2022 through April 24, 2022.

June 2021                  -     91.7 cases per day (    1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
July 2021                  -    364.8 cases per day (    5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021             -  1259.0 cases per day (  18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021       -  1589.9 cases per day (  23.06 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021            -  1204.7 cases per day (  17.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
November 2021       -   2301.8 cases per day (  33.39 cases per 100,000 people per day)
December 2021        -  7472.6 cases per day (108.41 cases per 100,000 people per day)
January 2022            -12832.3 cases per day (186.16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 2-8 2022             -23206.7 cases per day (336.67 cases per 100,000 people per day) (peak week)
February 2022          -  1629.6 cases per day (  23.64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
March 2022              -    813.8 cases per day (  11.81 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 6-12 2022         -    602.9 cases per day (    8.75 cases per 100,000 people per day) (low week)
April 2022                -  1940.8 cases per day (  28.16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 1-7 2022           -  3205.7 cases per day (  46.51 cases per 100,000 people per day)

Deaths, that laggingest of lagging indicators appear to have caught up with the trend and may have started to tick up again.

June 2021                  -  3.4 per day
July 2021                   -  2.6 per day
August 2021              -  6.3 per day
September 2021        - 12.8 per day
October 2021            - 11.7 per day
November 2021        - 13.7 per day
December 2021        -  28.7 per day
January 2022             - 61.3 per day
Jan 16-22 2022          - 72.9 per day (peak week)
February 2022           - 37.0 per day
March 2022               - 10.4 per day
Mar 20-26 2022        -   4.9 per day (low week)
Mar 27-Apr 2 2022   -   5.0 per day
Apr 3-9 2022             -   5.4 per day
Apr 10-16 2022         -   4.6 per day
Apr 17-23 2022         -   5.7 per day
Apr 24-30 2022         -   5.6 per day
May 1-7 2022            -   7.1 per day

And we'll end with the closest to real-time indicator we have: wastewater tracking.  The trend shows clearly that we're still increasing and the last 7 days' data points are all higher than any data points across February and March ... and with 1 day in February, those 7 days' data points are significantly higher, like, to the tune of more than 33% higher than the early days of February.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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