Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 28-Jan-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

• Green - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day 
• Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
• Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day

Information right next to the city/town name is the most recent information and the furthest to the right is the furthest back.  

"record worst" means that the last 2 weeks are the worst this location has seen, not that it is the worst of all the regions.... as you'll see, most of the places I'm tracking fall under this category of change.

• Arlington - 24.6<-31.0<-32.6<-27.4<-27.4<-26.6<-31.3<-27.6<-13.5<-10.6<- 7.5 <- 6.4 <- 6.7 <- 3.9 <- 0.9 <- 2.2 <- 3.0 <- 1.9 <- 2.5 <- 2.7 <- 1.4 <- 0.6 <- 0.6 
• Boston - 56.5<-69.0<-72.2<-60.6<-56.6<-60.6<-63.7<-48<-34.0<-33.0<- 24.5 <- 19.2 <- 16.4 <- 12.0 <- 10.9 <- 10.2 <- 8.6 <- 8.0 <- 5.8 <- 5.8 <- 7.8 <- 7.1 <- 6.6 
• Cambridge - 32.9<-34.1<-32.6<-27.9<-26.0<-28.9<-29.4<-23.1<-23.5<-20.1<- 9.9 <- 5.8 <- 3.9 <- 4.2 <- 3.7 <- 2.7 <- 3.1 <- 3.0 <- 2.4 <- 1.8 <- 1.6 <- 2.2 <- 2.3 
• Chelsea - 109.5<-132.0<-137.4<-125.2<-124.2<-135.2<-152.5<-106.4<-70.7<- 73.8<- 60.5 <- 48.0 <- 34.9 <- 26.9 <- 30.2 <- 24.3 <- 18.6 <- 20.5 <- 20.9 <- 26.4 <- 31.3 <- 30.0 <- 22.2 
• Fitchburg - 57.8<-81.9<-95.3<-80.5<-81.1<-85.0<-81.9<-62.6<-50.5<-56.4<- 50.2 <- 41.0 <- 25.6 <- 6.9 <- 3.9 <- 2.5 <- 1.5 <- 1.5 <- 2.5 <- 3.2 <- 2.4 <- 2.0 <- 3.7 
• Holliston - 40.0<-48.9<-51.5<-45.4<-46.3<-38.5<-33.3<-23.1<-24.9<-19.7<- 17.1 <- 17.1 <- 13.0 <- 9.8 <- 7.8 <- 5.7 <- 6.7 <- 8.8 <- 6.2 <- 3.6 <- 5.2 <- 2.6 <- 1.0 
• Lawrence - 101.5<-164.7<-162.5<-137.2<-139.2<-166.0<-205.7<-169.6<-110.5<-110.8<- 88.4 <- 64.3 <- 57.3 <- 49.3 <- 41.2 <- 37.6 <- 36.5 <- 22.5 <- 14.1 <- 18.3 <- 17.0 <- 12.6 <- 9.5 
• Lowell - 71.3<-83.0<-85.5<-79.3<-92.4<-118.5<-139.1<-110.0<-81.9<-67.4<- 46.1 <- 29.8 <- 19.7 <- 13.9 <- 15.2 <- 16.7 <- 12.3 <- 8.1 <- 6.4 <- 6.1 <- 4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
• Lynn - 88.0<-117.1<-122.8<-110.8<-103.9<-117.4<-133.4<-100.5<-71.4<-64.5<- 48.4 <- 38.3 <- 27.6 <- 18.7 <- 13.6 <- 11.2 <- 12.0 <- 15.7 <- 13.2 <- 9.6 <- 12.2 <- 17.0 <- 22.2 
• Malden - 65.5<-84.5<-86.0<-72.4<-68.1<-73.4<-81<-64.0<-36.9<-35.3<- 26.1 <- 17.1 <- 13.8 <- 12.2 <- 11.9 <- 10.9 <- 6.3 <- 4.3 <- 6.1 <- 7.3 <- 5.9 <- 3.7 <- 3.0 
• Medford - 52.8<-70.5<-73.5<-63.1<-62.0<-62.5<-67.1<-53.8<-26.4<-24.1<- 18.8 <- 11.6 <- 8.8 <- 7.2 <- 6.9 <- 5.8 <- 4.8 <- 4.7 <- 4.7 <- 5.4 <- 4.1 <- 3.3 <- 4.1 
• Quincy - 50.7<-59.6<-65.0<-55.6<-52.4<-54.5<-55.8<-41.9<-19.3<-13.6<- 10.3 <- 8.5 <- 6.9 <- 6.3 <- 6.9 <- 6.4 <- 4.8 <- 3.7 <- 3.2 <- 2.9 <- 2.6 <- 3.3 <- 2.8 
• Salem - 69.0<-86.8<-89.2<-73.5<-77.6<-86.9<-88.7<-70.8<-50.6<-41.9<- 28.2 <- 16.8 <- 9.8 <- 6.5 <- 5.9 <- 6.7 <- 6.5 <- 4.4 <- 3.8 <- 4.9 <- 4.9 <- 6.5 <- 9.8 
• Somerville - 40.2<-54.7<-56.5<-43.2<-40.3<-48.4<-47.8<-39.5<-35.9<-8.2<- 17.8 <- 10.3 <- 7.4 <- 7.1 <- 7.5 <- 6.4 <- 4.9 <- 5.2 <- 7.0 <- 7.9 <- 6.5 <- 4.7 <- 3.4 
• Springfield - 86.2<-101.2<-96.1<-81.6<-80.6<-84.1<-93.0<-80.4<-65.2<-56.9<- 38.5 <- 26.3 <- 18.1 <- 11.3 <- 14.7 <- 14.6 <- 9.6 <- 5.7 <- 3.7 <- 3.6 <- 2.8 <- 3.5 <- 4.5 

• State - 58.3<-73.8<-77.0<-64.9<-61.7<-64.9<-68.1<-53.3<-35.5<-31.2 <- 22.4 <- 16.3 <- 12.7 <- 9.3 <- 8.5 <- 7.6 <- 6.2 <- 5.1 <- 4.4 <- 4.4 <- 4.5 <- 4.0 <- 3.8

Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:

• Green - 61 (2 more than last week) (Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Yellow - 0 (1 less than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Orange - 5 (same as last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Red - 18 (10 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
• Maroon- 64 (24 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Purple- 127 (34 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
• Black - 76 (69 fewer than last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).

Summary: 251 cities/towns got better this week, only 30 got worse.  Things are definitely better this week than they were last week but we've still got quite a ways to go to get to even the point where we're not well above the case rate most analysts are considering the high-risk point (25).  Also, 262 locales are above this high-risk rate and only 89 are below it (yes, there are 5 locales that came in at 24 cases per 100k people per day).

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay vigilant.