Proclamation That We're Passed Our Peak: Disclaimer Desperately Needed!

Just a friendly reminder to anybody hearing about how we're passed our peak of COVID-19 cases in MA: we also passed the peak back at the start of December when we had our peak of 4,647 cases per day for the week of Nov 29 and then started shrinking to reach 3,794 cases per day the week of Dec 20... then came Dec 27's average of 4,878 and Jan 3's average of 6,078 cases per day... yes, it looks like we may have passed the peak that came on Jan 3 but these things can change quickly, especially when you let your guard down as our Governor is pushing us to do.

Weekly Average Progression:

  • Mar 8    -     31.9
  • Mar 15  -   244.9
  • Mar 22  -   698.7
  • Mar 29  - 1183.1
  • Apr 5    - 1736.6
  • Apr 12  - 2176.9 (first peak)
  • Apr 19  - 2119.1
  • Apr 26  - 1773.9
  • May 3   - 1407.7
  • May 10 - 1073.6
  • May 17 -   852.9 (Phase 1 of re-opening begins)
  • May 24 through Sep 20 - weekly averages all below 500
  • Jun 7 through Aug 16 - weekly averages all below 300 (Phase 2 of re-opening begins Jun 6)
  • Jun 14 through Jul 12 - weekly averages all below 200 (Phase 2 Step 2 of re-opening begins Jun 19)
  • Jun 28   -   156.7 (valley between first and second peak reaches its lower limit; happens to be just under 2 weeks after the start of Phase 2 Step 2 of re-opening, the very next week is back up to 199.1, removing all gains from the preceding 2.5 weeks)
  • Nov 1   - 1774.4
  • Nov 8   - 2415.0
  • Nov 15 - 2628.0
  • Nov 22 - 2609.6
  • Nov 29 - 4647.6 (second peak)
  • Dec 6   - 4628.3
  • Dec 13 - 4432.7
  • Dec 20 - 3794.1 (valley between second peak and third peak didn't get down below first peak levels)
  • Dec 27 - 4878.1 (the week after a 3-week decline in cases sees us surpassing the second peak already)
  • Jan 3    - 6078.6 (third peak)
  • Jan 10  - 4457.7 (and still climbing though only slightly
In each of the valleys, we rebounded with case counts that were higher than the 2 weeks leading to the depth of the valley.

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