Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 08-Apr-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

  • Green - Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day 
  • Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
Information right next to the city/town name is the most recent information and the furthest to the right is the furthest back. 
  • Arlington - 10.6<-10.1<-10.8 <-11.8 <-11.5 <-12.5 <-11.8 <-15.0 <-20.3 <-22.1 <-24.6 <-31.0 <-32.6 <-27.4 <-27.4 <-26.6 <-31.3 <-27.6 <-13.5 <-10.6 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-6.7 <-3.9 <-0.9 <-2.2 <-3.0 <-1.9 <-2.5 <-2.7 <-1.4 <-0.6 <-0.6 
  • Boston - 35.7<-29.9<-23.3 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-23.7 <-24.8 <-29.5 <-36.9 <-47.8 <-56.5 <-69.0 <-72.2 <-60.6 <-56.6 <-60.6 <-63.7 <-48.0 <-34.0 <-33.0 <-24.5 <-19.2 <-16.4 <-12.0 <-10.9 <-10.2 <-8.6 <-8.0 <-5.8 <-5.8 <-7.8 <-7.1 <- 6.6 
  • Cambridge - 21.9<-22.1<-16.3 <-15.8 <-15.7 <-13.7 <-12.8 <-13.6 <-20.1 <-28.1 <-32.9 <-34.1 <-32.6 <-27.9 <-26.0 <-28.9 <- 29.4 <-23.1 <- 23.5 <-20.1 <-9.9 <-5.8 <-3.9 <-4.2 <-3.7 <-2.7 <-3.1 <-3.0 <-2.4 <-1.8 <-1.6 <-2.2 <-2.3 
  • Chelsea - 31.3<-23.0<-20.7 <-19.0 <-28.1 <-37.1 <-39.1 <-46.4 <-56.7 <-83.2 <-109.5 <-132.0 <-137.4 <-125.2 <-124.2 <-135.2 <-152.5 <-106.4 <-70.7 <-73.8 <-60.5 <-48.0 <-34.9 <-26.9 <-30.2 <-24.3 <-18.6 <-20.5 <-20.9 <- 26.4 <-31.3 <-30.0 <-22.2 
  • Fitchburg - 21.7<-18.8<-19.8 <-20.5 <-27.0 <-32.6 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-38.3 <-47.5 <-57.8 <-81.9 <-95.3 <-80.5 <-81.1 <-85.0 <-81.9 <-62.6 <-50.5 <-56.4 <-50.2 <-41.0 <-25.6 <-6.9 <-3.9 <-2.5 <-1.5 <-1.5 <-2.5 <-3.2 <-2.4 <- 2.0 <-3.7 
  • Holliston - 16.1<-15.1<-18.2 <-19.3 <-17.7 <-17.7 <-14.1 <-15.1 <-19.3 <-28.6 <-40.0 <-48.9 <-51.5 <-45.4 <-46.3 <-38.5 <- 33.3 <-23.1 <-24.9 <-19.7 <-17.1 <-17.1 <-13.0 <-9.8 <-7.8 <-5.7 <-6.7 <-8.8 <-6.2 <-3.6 <-5.2 <-2.6 <-1.0 
  • Lawrence - 43.9<-34.1<-26.8 <-23.8 <-22.0 <-30.1 <-38.1 <-43.5 <-53.9 <-77.8 <-101.5 <-164.7 <-162.5 <-137.2 <-139.2 <-166.0 <-205.7 <-169.6 <-110.5 <-110.8 <-88.4 <-64.3 <-57.3 <-49.3 <-41.2 <-37.6 <-36.5 <-22.5 <-14.1 <-18.3 <-17.0 <-12.6 <-9.5 
  • Lowell - 54.8<-47.4<-33.9 <-25.6 <-21.6 <-24.2 <-30.3 <-37.0 <-47.0 <-63.7 <-71.3 <-83.0 <-85.5 <-79.3 <-92.4 <-118.5 <- 139.1 <-110.0 <-81.9 <-67.4 <-46.1 <-29.8 <-19.7 <-13.9 <-15.2 <-16.7 <-12.3 <-8.1 <-6.4 <-6.1 <-4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
  • Lynn - 36.6<-35.9<-31.7 <-24.1 <-19.5 <-24.7 <-30.7 <-43.0 <-55.0 <-66.6 <-88.0 <-117.1 <-122.8 <-110.8 <-103.9 <-117.4 <-133.4 <-100.5 <-71.4 <-64.5 <-48.4 <-38.3 <-27.6 <-18.7 <-13.6 <-11.2 <-12.0 <-15.7 <-13.2 <-9.6 <-12.2 <-17.0 <-22.2 
  • Malden - 28.8<-30.7<-29.2 <-24.3 <-17.3 <-16.8 <-17.0 <-23.2 <-39.5 <-53.5 <-65.5 <-84.5 <-86.0 <-72.4 <-68.1 <-73.4 <-81 <- 64.0 <- 36.9 <-35.3 <-26.1 <-17.1 <-13.8 <-12.2 <-11.9 <-10.9 <-6.3 <-4.3 <-6.1 <-7.3 <-5.9 <-3.7 <-3.0 
  • Medford - 27.0<-24.0<-22.3 <-18.9 <-14.8 <-15.9 <-16.3 <-21.4 <-31.0 <-40.2 <-52.8 <-70.5 <-73.5 <-63.1 <-62.0 <-62.5 <- 67.1 <-53.8 <-26.4 <-24.1 <-18.8 <-11.6 <-8.8 <-7.2 <-6.9 <-5.8 <-4.8 <-4.7 <-4.7 <-5.4 <-4.1 <-3.3 <-4.1 
  • Quincy - 21.5<-21.8<-20.5 <-19.8 <-15.9 <-17.0 <-20.5 <-24.4 <-33.8 <-46.1 <-50.7 <-59.6 <-65.0 <-55.6 <-52.4 <-54.5 <- 55.8 <-41.9 <-19.3 <-13.6 <-10.3 <-8.5 <-6.9 <-6.3 <-6.9 <-6.4 <-4.8 <-3.7 <-3.2 <-2.9 <-2.6 <-3.3 <-2.8 
  • Salem - 25.2<-19.7<-16.3 <-20.0 <-18.6 <-19.0 <-27.8 <-32.8 <-34.3 <-50.9 <-69.0 <-86.8 <-89.2 <-73.5 <-77.6 <-86.9 <-88.7 <-70.8 <-50.6 <-41.9 <-28.2 <-16.8 <-9.8 <-6.5 <-5.9 <-6.7 <-6.5 <-4.4 <-3.8 <-4.9 <-4.9 <-6.5 <- 9.8 
  • Somerville - 23.9<-25.2<-24.6 <-20.9 <-18.2 <-18.7 <-20.8 <-21.7 <-27.9 <-33.2 <-40.2 <-54.7 <-56.5 <-43.2 <-40.3 <-48.4 <- 47.8 <-39.5 <-35.9 <-8.2 <-17.8 <-10.3 <-7.4 <-7.1 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-4.9 <-5.2 <-7.0 <-7.9 <-6.5 <-4.7 <-3.4 
  • Springfield - 45.0<-40.1<-29.3 <-26.8 <-32.8 <-40.0 <-42.9 <-48.1 <-63.7 <-75.3 <-86.2 <-101.2 <-96.1 <-81.6 <-80.6 <-84.1 <- 93.0 <-80.4 <65.2 <-56.9 <-38.5 <-26.3 <-18.1 <-11.3 <-14.7 <-14.6 <-9.6 <-5.7 <-3.7 <-3.6 <-2.8 <-3.5 <- 4.5 
  • State - 28.5<-26.5<-22.2 <-19.5 <-19.2 <-20.7 <-23.2 <-29.2 <-37.3 <-47.6 <-58.3 <-73.8 <-77.0 <-64.9 <-61.7 <-64.9 <-68.1 <- 53.3 <- 35.5 <-31.2 <-22.4 <-16.3 <-12.7 <-9.3 <-8.5 <-7.6 <-6.2 <-5.1 <-4.4 <-4.4 <-4.5 <-4.0 <- 3.8
Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:
  • Green - 63 (the same as last week) (Less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Yellow - 8 (3 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Orange - 45 (5 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Red - 83 (9 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
  • Maroon- 130 (20 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Purple- 18 (4 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black - 4 (3 more than last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).
Summary: For the third week in a row, all 3 of the low ranges have decreased or steady counts, and for the second week in a row, the fourth lowest range joined them.  Oh, and we now have 3 more communities getting back to the extreme levels of spread that warranted the black highlighter... that's... not good.  Curiously, all 4 are on Cape Cod, Nantucket, or Martha's Vineyard rather than being those the communities on my list that I would expect to reach that value first... though there are several on my watch list that are coming much closer to joining that ranking (looking at you, Lowell).

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay sane. Stay informed. Stay vigilant. 

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