Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 25-Aug-2021 Edition

It's Wednesday, which means we have an update on the new hospitalizations we've seen in the last week.  Not surprisingly, we've continued the steady increase we've been experiencing since late July:

June 13-19 2021 -  13.4
June 20-26 2021 -  12.7
Jun 27-Jul 3 2021- 11.4
July 4-10 2021    -  14.3
July 11-17 2021  -  14.3
July 18-24 2021  -  17.9
July 25-31 2021  -  34.0
Aug 01-07 2021  -  42.7
Aug 08-14 2021  -  57.7
Aug 15-21 2021  -  68.3

Sticking with hospitals for a moment, last week saw another increase in the daily increase of hospital use.  The weeks of July 25-August 14 we were seeing about 11-12.5 more hospital beds being in use per day.  That average shifted up to 19.3 more beds being in use per day, finishing off the week with a total of 519 beds in use as of Saturday (increasing to 569 yesterday).  ICU bed usage increase has also seen an uptick with the same weeks seeing 1.7-3.1 more ICU beds being in use per day to last week seeing 7.1 more ICU beds being in use, ending last week with a total of 129 ICU beds being in use (145 as of yesterday).  And you guessed it, intubation count increase ticked up too with the prior 3 weeks seeing an average daily increase of less than 1 new intubation per day (2.1 in the middle of the 3 weeks) but seeing 3.7 more patients per day last week being intubated, finishing the week with 61 (72 as of yesterday).

Quick update on cases from last week, we ticked up by 50 cases per day to reach 1277.6 (18.5 cases per 100,000 per day).  We also see more than twice the cases so far this week as we did this time last week. 

But sure, I don't see any reason for concern... all of this seems normal, right?

On a positive note, waste water tracking does appear to show that we've peaked and are declining in spread... though it's too soon to tell from that and we're also about to see a holiday weekend and schools are about to come back into session... so what could possibly go wrong?

Stay safe. Stay informed.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

MA Wastewater Tracking (23-Jan-2024 data)

Image
See that little uptick at the end of each graph? This didn't happen in 2022 but did in 2023. We understood the goal in 2022 (to some degree) but since ... is there some portion of the population who says "covid spread must be down so let's go nuts"? I suspect this is partially colleges reconvening their students on campuses where in 2022 they were still trying to get their students to maintain some precautions and they haven't been since... but I also don't think this is just college campuses.
Read more

Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 13-Oct-2020 edition

Last week's case count is already higher than any other week going back until May 17... which was the case last week but now we're able to report that again because, even though cases will keep increasing for last week for a couple more days, we're over the total from the previous week by 189, or an average of 27/day. Also... we've now seen 2 straight weeks with every single weekday having more new cases than any single day from May 29 through Sept 23 (and that run of large-case-count weekdays starts on Sep 28... so...) Last week also saw 4 straight days with only 1 day of higher case count going back through May 27... including the immediately preceding week. Testing, with 1 exception, has been above 3.0% for individuals for the last 20 days. For comparison, the same rate was below 2.5%, with the exception of 1 day, from July 5 through September 2.... oh, and 13 of the last 20 days that percentage was 3.5% or higher and 4 of the last 15 were 4.0% or higher.... 2 of the...
Read more

Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 27-Oct-2020 edition

Well, yesterday we had 2 weekdays under 1000 cases last week, today we have no weekdays under 1050, which means that there is NO day between May 19 and the start of last week that reaches the count of ANY weekday last week. This far exceeds my prediction that the average for the weekdays last week would have had 900+ cases by the close of this week... the average weekday cases was 1,111.6. Thursday of last week now has reached 1343 cases, which brings us back to May 12 looking for a day as bad. The week saw an average of 923 cases per day (Sunday has 327 and Saturday, which is still increasing, saw 581) which means we are no longer looking at the week of May 17 for a week that exceeded and now have to look at May 10. Oh, also, the comparison of the average from last week to the one before? Yeah, we increased by 30 percent! Month over month? We DOUBLED! Hospital usage, ICU usage, and intubation counts are all up too, so no bright spot there. The 3-day average hospital usage from exactly...
Read more