Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 14-Oct-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

  • Blue - Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Low transmission" from the CDC)
  • Green - Greater than or equal to 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Substantial transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day (this and above is approximately the "High transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black - Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
Information closest to the city/town name is the most recent information and spans backward in time so that a comparison can be made not just to the worst spread or the last few weeks' but going back to last summer.... Aka, it's a reminder that as good as things look in comparison to January, we're not back to where we were yet. 
  • City/Town
    • current to 07-Oct-2021 (date of report)
    • 30-Sep-2020 to 01-Jul-2021 (date of report)
    • 24-Jun-2021 to 01-Apr-2021
    • 25-Mar-2021 to 07-Jan-2021
    • 31-Dec-2020 to 01-Oct-2020
    • 24-Sep-2020 to 27-Aug-2020
  • Amherst
    • 6.9 <- 17.4
    • 37.6 <- 83.0 <- 68.0 <- 12.8 <- 5.9 <- 5.7 <- 5.3 <- 3.9 <- 1.2 <- 1.8 <- 0.9 <- 1.1 <- 2.0
    • 0.9 <- 0.0 <- 0.2 <- 0.9 <- 2.7 <- 5.9 <- 6.4 <- 7.3 <- 11.9 <- 15.1 <- 16.5 <- 17.4 <- 20.4
    • 26.6 <- 39.0 <- 49.0 <- 59.3 <- 80.2 <- 118.0 <- 91.9 <- 26.6 <- 16.7 <- 24.5 <- 26.4 <- 23.1 
  • Arlington
    • 7.5 <- 8.0
    • 10.1 <- 12.2 <- 7.8 <- 8.1 <- 10.4 <- 9.7 <- 9.5 <- 7.3 <- 4.5 <- 3.9 <- 2.7 <- 1.3 <- 0.6 <- 0.0
    • 0.2 <- 0.5 <- 0.3 <- 0.9 <-1.6 <-2.5 <-3.6 <-3.4 <-4.8 <-8.6 <-11.1 <-10.6 <-10.1
    • 10.8 <-11.8 <-11.5 <-12.5 <-11.8 <-15.0 <-20.3 <-22.1 <-24.6 <-31.0 <-32.6 <-27.4
    • 27.4 <-26.6 <-31.3 <-27.6 <-13.5 <-10.6 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-6.7 <-3.9 <-0.9 <-2.2 <-3.0 <-1.9 
    • 2.5 <-2.7 <-1.4 <-0.6 <-0.6
  • Boston
    • 14.9 <- 16.1
    • 19.7 <- 24.9 <- 23.4 <- 19.9 <- 19.7 <- 17.6 <- 16.9 <- 15.2 <- 11.4 <- 7.8 <- 4.4 <- 2.0 <- 1.0 <- 1.0 
    • 1.0 <- 2.2 <- 2.8 <- 3.8 <-5.8 <-8.1 <-11.2 <-14.2 <-17.8 <-23.7 <-32.0 <-35.7 <-29.9
    • 23.3 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-23.7 <-24.8 <-29.5 <-36.9 <-47.8 <-56.5 <-69.0 <-72.2 <-60.6
    • -56.6 <-60.6 <-63.7 <-48.0 <-34.0 <-33.0 <-24.5 <-19.2 <-16.4 <-12.0 <-10.9 <-10.2 <-8.6 <-8.0 
    • 5.8 <-5.8 <-7.8 <-7.1 <- 6.6 
  • Cambridge
    • 8.0 <- 12.3
    • 16.6 <- 18.8 <- 18.4 <- 17.9 <- 17.1 <- 13.9 <- 11.4 <- 11.3 <- 11.4 <- 8.1 <- 4.0 <- 2.0 <- 0.9 <- 0.5 
    • 0.4 <- 1.7 <- 1.8 <- 1.4 <-2.4 <-3.1 <-5.7 <-8.7 <-12.5 <-19.5 <-20.9 <-21.9 <-22.1 
    • 16.3 <-15.8 <-15.7 <-13.7 <-12.8 <-13.6 <-20.1 <-28.1 <-32.9 <-34.1 <-32.6 <-27.9 
    • 26.0 <-28.9 <- 29.4 <-23.1 <- 23.5 <-20.1 <-9.9 <-5.8 <-3.9 <-4.2 <-3.7 <-2.7 <-3.1 <-3.0 
    • 2.4 <-1.8 <-1.6 <-2.2 <-2.3 
  • Chelsea
    • 11.2 <- 15.1
    • 20.3 <- 22.1 <- 14.1 <- 16.6 <- 21.7 <- 15.9 <- 16.5 <- 17.6 <- 12.0 <- 7.2 <- 4.5 <- 1.7 <- 1.7 <- 2.5 
    • 2.3 <- 1.7 <- 2.7 <- 7.9 <-13.9 <-15.3 <-17.4 <-28.5 <-42.0 <-42.7 <-39.1 <-31.3 <-23.0 
    • 20.7 <-19.0 <-28.1 <-37.1 <-39.1 <-46.4 <-56.7 <-83.2 <-109.5 <-132.0 <-137.4 <-125.2 
    • 124.2 <-135.2 <-152.5 <-106.4 <-70.7 <-73.8 <-60.5 <-48.0 <-34.9 <-26.9 <-30.2 <-24.3 <-18.6 <-20.5 
    • 20.9 <- 26.4 <-31.3 <-30.0 <-22.2 
  • Fitchburg
    • 37.0 <- 47.0
    • 52.1 <- 42.1 <- 26.5 <- 22.6 <- 24.4 <- 15.4 <- 8.8 <- 8.3 <- 6.27 <- 4.4 <- 3.1 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 <- 1.7 
    • 2.0 <- 3.1 <- 3.2 <- 4.8 <-7.6 <-12.0 <-16.1 <-21.5 <-24.1 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-21.7 <-18.8 
    • 19.8 <-20.5 <-27.0 <-32.6 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-38.3 <-47.5 <-57.8 <-81.9 <-95.3 <-80.5 
    • 81.1 <-85.0 <-81.9 <-62.6 <-50.5 <-56.4 <-50.2 <-41.0 <-25.6 <-6.9 <-3.9 <-2.5 <-1.5 <-1.5 
    • 2.5 <-3.2 <-2.4 <- 2.0 <-3.7 
  • Holliston
    • 13.0 <- 10.0
    • 13.5 <- 16.1 <- 10.4 <- 7.3 <- 12.5 <- 18.2 <- 18.7 <- 14.6 <- 9.9 <- 3.6 <- 0.5 <- 0.0 <- 0.0 <- 0.5 
    • 0.5 <- 1.0 <- 2.6 <- 2.6 <-1.6 <-4.1 <-10.4 <-12.5 <-14.1 <-16.7 <-16.7 <-16.1 <-15.1 
    • 18.2 <-19.3 <-17.7 <-17.7 <-14.1 <-15.1 <-19.3 <-28.6 <-40.0 <-48.9 <-51.5 <-45.4 
    • 46.3 <-38.5 <- 33.3 <-23.1 <-24.9 <-19.7 <-17.1 <-17.1 <-13.0 <-9.8 <-7.8 <-5.7 <-6.7 <-8.8 
    • 6.2 <-3.6 <-5.2 <-2.6 <-1.0 
  • Lawrence
    • 19.1 <- 22.2
    • 23.2 <- 25.3 <- 24.8 <- 23.0 <- 24.6 <- 21.4 <- 22.4 <- 18.6 <- 10.0 <- 6.4 <- 3.7 <- 2.5 <- 2.1 <- 2.2 
    • 2.4 <- 5.2 <- 8.5 <- 11.2 <-14.3 <-19.4 <-26.7 <-36.0 <-37.9 <-45.2 <-49.1 <-43.9 <-34.1 
    • 26.8 <-23.8 <-22.0 <-30.1 <-38.1 <-43.5 <-53.9 <-77.8 <-101.5 <-164.7 <-162.5 <-137.2 
    • 139.2 <-166.0 <-205.7 <-169.6 <-110.5 <-110.8 <-88.4 <-64.3 <-57.3 <-49.3 <-41.2 <-37.6 <-36.5 <-22.5 
    • 14.1 <-18.3 <-17.0 <-12.6 <-9.5 
  • Lowell
    • 16.1 <- 19.4
    • 22.0 <- 22.8 <- 21.8 <- 19.9 <- 20.8 <- 19.0 <- 18.1 <- 16.8 <- 10.5 <- 5.5 <- 2.4 <- 1.7 <- 0.4 <- 0.1 
    • 2.2 <- 2.9 <- 3.7 <- 6.1 <-7.3 <-11.8 <-20.3 <-28.5 <-35.5 <-45.0 <-53.3 <-54.8 <-47.4 
    • 33.9 <-25.6 <-21.6 <-24.2 <-30.3 <-37.0 <-47.0 <-63.7 <-71.3 <-83.0 <-85.5 <-79.3 
    • 92.4 <-118.5 <- 139.1 <-110.0 <-81.9 <-67.4 <-46.1 <-29.8 <-19.7 <-13.9 <-15.2 <-16.7 <-12.3 <-8.1 
    • 6.4 <-6.1 <-4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
  • Lynn
    • 20.6 <- 23.7
    • 25.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.6 <- 21.1 <- 19.8 <- 17.6 <- 15.8 <- 12.1 <- 8.3 <- 5.2 <- 3.1 <- 1.9 <- 1.2 <- 2.3 
    • 4.0 <- 4.0 <- 3.3 <- 6.7 <-9.6 <-10.7 <-13.0 <-18.1 <-24.4 <-29.2 <-32.9 <-36.6 <-35.9 
    • 31.7 <-24.1 <-19.5 <-24.7 <-30.7 <-43.0 <-55.0 <-66.6 <-88.0 <-117.1 <-122.8 <-110.8 
    • 103.9 <-117.4 <-133.4 <-100.5 <-71.4 <-64.5 <-48.4 <-38.3 <-27.6 <-18.7 <-13.6 <-11.2 <-12.0 <-15.7 
    • 13.2 <-9.6 <-12.2 <-17.0 <-22.2 
  • Malden
    • 12.8 <- 16.1
    • 18.8 <- 16.5 <- 14.7 <- 12.7 <- 12.0 <- 15.5 <- 15.2 <- 12.5 <- 9.6 <- 5.2 <- 2.1 <- 1.4 <- 0.7 <- 0.7 
    • 2.3 <- 3.3 <- 3.5 <- 4.7 <-5.1 <-6.9 <-9.8 <-13.9 <-19.3 <-26.2 <-28.2 <-28.8 <-30.7 
    • 29.2 <-24.3 <-17.3 <-16.8 <-17.0 <-23.2 <-39.5 <-53.5 <-65.5 <-84.5 <-86.0 <-72.4 
    • 68.1 <-73.4 <-81 <- 64.0 <- 36.9 <-35.3 <-26.1 <-17.1 <-13.8 <-12.2 <-11.9 <-10.9 <-6.3 <-4.3 
    • 6.1 <-7.3 <-5.9 <-3.7 <-3.0 
  • Medford
    • 16.7 <- 18.6
    • 20.5 <- 23.5 <- 21.0 <- 16.0 <- 16.1 <- 16.7 <- 14.1 <- 10.2 <- 9.4 <- 9.3 <- 4.8 <- 1.2 <- 1.2 <- 1.5 
    • 1.2 <- 0.8 <- 3.5 <- 2.2 <-3.5 <-5.9 <-8.1 <-12.8 <-19.5 <-22.7 <-25.5 <-27.0 <-24.0 
    • 22.3 <-18.9 <-14.8 <-15.9 <-16.3 <-21.4 <-31.0 <-40.2 <-52.8 <-70.5 <-73.5 <-63.1 
    • 62.0 <-62.5 <- 67.1 <-53.8 <-26.4 <-24.1 <-18.8 <-11.6 <-8.8 <-7.2 <-6.9 <-5.8 <-4.8 <-4.7 
    • 4.7 <-5.4 <-4.1 <-3.3 <-4.1 
  • Quincy
    • 11.8 <- 11.1
    • 13.0 <- 13.7 <- 12.5 <- 15.6 <- 18.6 <- 16.0 <- 12.6 <- 8.6 <- 5.6 <- 4.2 <- 3.9 <- 2.3 <- 0.5 <- 0.4 
    • 0.3 <- 0.0 <- 0.8 <- 1.9 <-2.0 <-3.6 <-6.6 <-11.1 <-14.4 <-16.0 <-18.3 <-21.5 <-21.8 
    • 20.5 <-19.8 <-15.9 <-17.0 <-20.5 <-24.4 <-33.8 <-46.1 <-50.7 <-59.6 <-65.0 <-55.6 
    • 52.4 <-54.5 <- 55.8 <-41.9 <-19.3 <-13.6 <-10.3 <-8.5 <-6.9 <-6.3 <-6.9 <-6.4 <-4.8 <-3.7 
    • 3.2 <-2.9 <-2.6 <-3.3 <-2.8 
  • Salem
    • 17.3 <- 19.4
    • 24.0 <- 26.3 <- 23.6 <- 15.7 <- 15.4 <- 13.2 <- 11.6 <- 10.2 <- 6.4 <- 4.1 <- 2.7 <- 1.6 <- 0.6 <- 0.2 
    • 0.2 <- 1.0 <- 1.3 <- 3.7 <-8.7 <-13.0 <-14.6 <-15.9 <-19.4 <-23.3 <-26.8 <-25.2 <-19.7 
    • 16.3 <-20.0 <-18.6 <-19.0 <-27.8 <-32.8 <-34.3 <-50.9 <-69.0 <-86.8 <-89.2 <-73.5 
    • 77.6 <-86.9 <-88.7 <-70.8 <-50.6 <-41.9 <-28.2 <-16.8 <-9.8 <-6.5 <-5.9 <-6.7 <-6.5 <-4.4 
    • 3.8 <-4.9 <-4.9 <-6.5 <- 9.8 
  • Somerville
    • 12.4 <- 11.7
    • 17.2 <- 20.5 <- 15.7 <- 13.3 <- 14.5 <- 13.1 <- 11.8 <- 12.8 <- 10.1 <- 5.7 <- 3.2 <- 1.2 <- 1.5 <- 1.6 
    • 0.5 <- 0.9 <- 1.3 <- 3.1 <-4.2 <-5.4 <-8.2 <-10.6 <-12.8 <-17.1 <-23.0 <-23.9 <-25.2 
    • 24.6 <-20.9 <-18.2 <-18.7 <-20.8 <-21.7 <-27.9 <-33.2 <-40.2 <-54.7 <-56.5 <-43.2 
    • 40.3 <-48.4 <- 47.8 <-39.5 <-35.9 <-8.2 <-17.8 <-10.3 <-7.4 <-7.1 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-4.9 <-5.2 
    • 7.0 <-7.9 <-6.5 <-4.7 <-3.4 
  • Springfield
    • 29.2 <- 36.6
    • 52.6 <- 63.3 <- 55.1 <- 51.8 <- 47.2 <- 38.4 <- 31.5 <- 21.5 <- 13.7 <- 9.2 <- 6.6 <- 2.5 <- 1.5 <- 1.9 
    • 1.7 <- 2.9 <- 5.8 <- 9.3 <-14.0 <-18.7 <-25.8 <-36.9 <-43.7 <-48.7 <-47.8 <-45.0 <-40.1 
    • 29.3 <-26.8 <-32.8 <-40.0 <-42.9 <-48.1 <-63.7 <-75.3 <-86.2 <-101.2 <-96.1 <-81.6 
    • 80.6 <-84.1 <- 93.0 <-80.4 <65.2 <-56.9 <-38.5 <-26.3 <-18.1 <-11.3 <-14.7 <-14.6 <-9.6 <-5.7 
    • 3.7 <-3.6 <-2.8 <-3.5 <- 4.5 
  • State
    • 18.5 <- 20.1
    • 22.6 <- 24.8 <- 23.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.2 <- 17.4 <- 15.7 <- 13.0 <- 9.3 <- 5.7 <- 3.1 <- 1.5 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 
    • 1.0 <- 1.6 <- 2.2 <- 3.6 <-5.7 <-8.2 <-11.6 <-15.2 <-19.2 <-23.8 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-26.5 
    • 22.2 <-19.5 <-19.2 <-20.7 <-23.2 <-29.2 <-37.3 <-47.6 <-58.3 <-73.8 <-77.0 <-64.9 
    • 61.7 <-64.9 <-68.1 <- 53.3 <- 35.5 <-31.2 <-22.4 <-16.3 <-12.7 <-9.3 <-8.5 <-7.6 <-6.2 <-5.1 
    • 4.4 <-4.4 <-4.5 <-4.0 <- 3.8
Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:
  • Blue - 60 (4 fewer than last week) (Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Green - 7 (2 more than last week) (Greater than 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Yellow - 21 (1 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Orange - 102 (7 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Red -  77 (1 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
  • Maroon- 72 (2 more than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Purple- 11 (7 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black - 1 (same as last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 cases per 100,000 people per day).

Summary: 3 of the 16 locales I track increased their rates, including Somerville.  Locales in the different categories of spread are no longer clearly going in a particular direction, which aligns with the cases we saw last week overall.  Oh, and 117 locales got worse while 159 got better as opposed to 93 doing worse and 183 doing better last week.... so yeah, things are turning back to getting worse again and we hadn't even gotten back to single digits.  Sadly, this isn't surprising.

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay informed. 

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