Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 30-Dec-2021 Greater-Greater Somerville Edition

Just a friendly reminder that I'm using state numbers for total cases in reporting from each week but using a calculation that is a better approximation of the cases we've seen every 2 weeks by taking the totals from the report 2 weeks ago and comparing to the report of the week.  For an explanation of why this is more appropriate, read over my post about it: https://funwithmacovid-19reporting.blogspot.com/2020/10/why-weekly-community-numbers-reported.html

  • Blue - Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Low transmission" from the CDC)
  • Green - Greater than or equal to 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Yellow - Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day (included in "Moderate transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Orange - Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day (this is approximately the "Substantial transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Red - Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day (this and above is approximately the "High transmission" spread from the CDC)
  • Maroon- Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Purple- Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black - Greater than or equal to 64 and less than 100 cases per 100,000 people per day
  • Black w/Italic Text - Greater than or equal 100 cases per 100,000 people per day
Information closest to the city/town name is the most recent information and spans backward in time so that a comparison can be drawn of how we went from doing ok in the summer of 2020, to doing really badly over the winter, to doing really well in the spring of 2021, and then how we've done since.  We were able to get the spread down to "Low transmission" briefly in many areas while still in phase 3 of our re-opening plan so beating COVID-19 is entirely possible, we just have to try as a wider community to get there. 
  • City/Town
    • 30-Dec-2021 to 07-Oct-2021 (date of report)
    • 30-Sep-2020 to 01-Jul-2021 
    • 24-Jun-2021 to 01-Apr-2021
    • 25-Mar-2021 to 07-Jan-2021
    • 31-Dec-2020 to 01-Oct-2020
    • 24-Sep-2020 to 27-Aug-2020
  • Amherst
    • 30.9 <- 33.7 <- 37.6 <- 20.2 <- 10.5 <- 10.7 <- 7.6 <- 6.4 <- 5.0 <- 1.6 <- 2.7 <- 6.9 <- 17.4
    • 37.6 <- 83.0 <- 68.0 <- 12.8 <- 5.9 <- 5.7 <- 5.3 <- 3.9 <- 1.2 <- 1.8 <- 0.9 <- 1.1 <- 2.0
    • 0.9 <- 0.0 <- 0.2 <- 0.9 <- 2.7 <- 5.9 <- 6.4 <- 7.3 <- 11.9 <- 15.1 <- 16.5 <- 17.4 <- 20.4
    • 26.6 <- 39.0 <- 49.0 <- 59.3 <- 80.2 <- 118.0 <- 91.9 <- 26.6 <- 16.7 <- 24.5 <- 26.4 <- 23.1 
  • Arlington
    • 55.5 <- 33.2 <- 25.9 <- 22.1 <- 14.7 <- 12.5 <- 12.2 <- 9.0 <- 7.5 <- 6.7 <- 5.8 <- 7.5 <- 8.0
    • 10.1 <- 12.2 <- 7.8 <- 8.1 <- 10.4 <- 9.7 <- 9.5 <- 7.3 <- 4.5 <- 3.9 <- 2.7 <- 1.3 <- 0.6 <- 0.0
    • 0.2 <- 0.5 <- 0.3 <- 0.9 <-1.6 <-2.5 <-3.6 <-3.4 <-4.8 <-8.6 <-11.1 <-10.6 <-10.1
    • 10.8 <-11.8 <-11.5 <-12.5 <-11.8 <-15.0 <-20.3 <-22.1 <-24.6 <-31.0 <-32.6 <-27.4
    • 27.4 <-26.6 <-31.3 <-27.6 <-13.5 <-10.6 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-6.7 <-3.9 <-0.9 <-2.2 <-3.0 <-1.9 
    • 2.5 <-2.7 <-1.4 <-0.6 <-0.6
  • Boston
    • 122.8 <- 71.2 <- 48.7 <- 36.2 <- 25.4 <- 24.6 <- 19.4 <- 15.0 <- 12.9 <- 13.3 <- 14.5 <- 14.9 <- 16.1
    • 19.7 <- 24.9 <- 23.4 <- 19.9 <- 19.7 <- 17.6 <- 16.9 <- 15.2 <- 11.4 <- 7.8 <- 4.4 <- 2.0 <- 1.0 <- 1.0 
    • 1.0 <- 2.2 <- 2.8 <- 3.8 <-5.8 <-8.1 <-11.2 <-14.2 <-17.8 <-23.7 <-32.0 <-35.7 <-29.9
    • 23.3 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-23.7 <-24.8 <-29.5 <-36.9 <-47.8 <-56.5 <-69.0 <-72.2 <-60.6
    • -56.6 <-60.6 <-63.7 <-48.0 <-34.0 <-33.0 <-24.5 <-19.2 <-16.4 <-12.0 <-10.9 <-10.2 <-8.6 <-8.0 
    • 5.8 <-5.8 <-7.8 <-7.1 <- 6.6 
  • Cambridge
    • 110.2 <- 69.5 <- 42.5 <- 31.1 <- 21.4 <- 19.2 <- 15.2 <- 11.0 <- 11.5 <- 12.3 <- 8.7 <- 8.0 <- 12.3
    • 16.6 <- 18.8 <- 18.4 <- 17.9 <- 17.1 <- 13.9 <- 11.4 <- 11.3 <- 11.4 <- 8.1 <- 4.0 <- 2.0 <- 0.9 <- 0.5 
    • 0.4 <- 1.7 <- 1.8 <- 1.4 <-2.4 <-3.1 <-5.7 <-8.7 <-12.5 <-19.5 <-20.9 <-21.9 <-22.1 
    • 16.3 <-15.8 <-15.7 <-13.7 <-12.8 <-13.6 <-20.1 <-28.1 <-32.9 <-34.1 <-32.6 <-27.9 
    • 26.0 <-28.9 <- 29.4 <-23.1 <- 23.5 <-20.1 <-9.9 <-5.8 <-3.9 <-4.2 <-3.7 <-2.7 <-3.1 <-3.0 
    • 2.4 <-1.8 <-1.6 <-2.2 <-2.3 
  • Chelsea
    • 133.9 <- 77.6 <- 58.5 <- 41.4 <- 29.6 <- 22.1 <- 17.8 <- 16.8 <- 10.5 <- 8.7 <- 8.9 <- 11.2 <- 15.1
    • 20.3 <- 22.1 <- 14.1 <- 16.6 <- 21.7 <- 15.9 <- 16.5 <- 17.6 <- 12.0 <- 7.2 <- 4.5 <- 1.7 <- 1.7 <- 2.5 
    • 2.3 <- 1.7 <- 2.7 <- 7.9 <-13.9 <-15.3 <-17.4 <-28.5 <-42.0 <-42.7 <-39.1 <-31.3 <-23.0 
    • 20.7 <-19.0 <-28.1 <-37.1 <-39.1 <-46.4 <-56.7 <-83.2 <-109.5 <-132.0 <-137.4 <-125.2 
    • 124.2 <-135.2 <-152.5 <-106.4 <-70.7 <-73.8 <-60.5 <-48.0 <-34.9 <-26.9 <-30.2 <-24.3 <-18.6 <-20.5 
    • 20.9 <- 26.4 <-31.3 <-30.0 <-22.2 
  • Fitchburg
    • 104.1 <- 103.6 <- 101.9 <- 79.2 <- 65.6 <- 56.3 <- 33.1 <- 28.5 <- 29.2 <- 31.0 <- 33.7 <- 37.0 <- 47.0
    • 52.1 <- 42.1 <- 26.5 <- 22.6 <- 24.4 <- 15.4 <- 8.8 <- 8.3 <- 6.27 <- 4.4 <- 3.1 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 <- 1.7 
    • 2.0 <- 3.1 <- 3.2 <- 4.8 <-7.6 <-12.0 <-16.1 <-21.5 <-24.1 <-22.4 <-23.2 <-21.7 <-18.8 
    • 19.8 <-20.5 <-27.0 <-32.6 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-38.3 <-47.5 <-57.8 <-81.9 <-95.3 <-80.5 
    • 81.1 <-85.0 <-81.9 <-62.6 <-50.5 <-56.4 <-50.2 <-41.0 <-25.6 <-6.9 <-3.9 <-2.5 <-1.5 <-1.5 
    • 2.5 <-3.2 <-2.4 <- 2.0 <-3.7 
  • Holliston
    • 59.8 <- 45.3 <- 48.4 <- 40.1 <- 26.0 <- 18.2 <- 18.2 <- 16.1 <- 10.0 <- 13.5 <- 16.7 <- 13.0 <- 10.0
    • 13.5 <- 16.1 <- 10.4 <- 7.3 <- 12.5 <- 18.2 <- 18.7 <- 14.6 <- 9.9 <- 3.6 <- 0.5 <- 0.0 <- 0.0 <- 0.5 
    • 0.5 <- 1.0 <- 2.6 <- 2.6 <-1.6 <-4.1 <-10.4 <-12.5 <-14.1 <-16.7 <-16.7 <-16.1 <-15.1 
    • 18.2 <-19.3 <-17.7 <-17.7 <-14.1 <-15.1 <-19.3 <-28.6 <-40.0 <-48.9 <-51.5 <-45.4 
    • 46.3 <-38.5 <- 33.3 <-23.1 <-24.9 <-19.7 <-17.1 <-17.1 <-13.0 <-9.8 <-7.8 <-5.7 <-6.7 <-8.8 
    • 6.2 <-3.6 <-5.2 <-2.6 <-1.0 
  • Lawrence
    • 162.1 <- 90.7 <- 77.7 <- 65.0 <- 46.5 <- 37.1 <- 30.6 <- 23.5 <- 18.0 <- 20.2 <- 21.2 <- 19.1 <- 22.2
    • 23.2 <- 25.3 <- 24.8 <- 23.0 <- 24.6 <- 21.4 <- 22.4 <- 18.6 <- 10.0 <- 6.4 <- 3.7 <- 2.5 <- 2.1 <- 2.2 
    • 2.4 <- 5.2 <- 8.5 <- 11.2 <-14.3 <-19.4 <-26.7 <-36.0 <-37.9 <-45.2 <-49.1 <-43.9 <-34.1 
    • 26.8 <-23.8 <-22.0 <-30.1 <-38.1 <-43.5 <-53.9 <-77.8 <-101.5 <-164.7 <-162.5 <-137.2 
    • 139.2 <-166.0 <-205.7 <-169.6 <-110.5 <-110.8 <-88.4 <-64.3 <-57.3 <-49.3 <-41.2 <-37.6 <-36.5 <-22.5 
    • 14.1 <-18.3 <-17.0 <-12.6 <-9.5 
  • Lowell
    • 91.0 <- 85.6 <- 94.0 <- 81.2 <- 48.9 <- 37.3 <- 30.0 <- 25.4 <- 22.1 <- 18.7 <- 16.1 <- 19.4
    • 22.0 <- 22.8 <- 21.8 <- 19.9 <- 20.8 <- 19.0 <- 18.1 <- 16.8 <- 10.5 <- 5.5 <- 2.4 <- 1.7 <- 0.4 <- 0.1 
    • 2.2 <- 2.9 <- 3.7 <- 6.1 <-7.3 <-11.8 <-20.3 <-28.5 <-35.5 <-45.0 <-53.3 <-54.8 <-47.4 
    • 33.9 <-25.6 <-21.6 <-24.2 <-30.3 <-37.0 <-47.0 <-63.7 <-71.3 <-83.0 <-85.5 <-79.3 
    • 92.4 <-118.5 <- 139.1 <-110.0 <-81.9 <-67.4 <-46.1 <-29.8 <-19.7 <-13.9 <-15.2 <-16.7 <-12.3 <-8.1 
    • 6.4 <-6.1 <-4.3 <- 2.9 <- 2.8 
  • Lynn
    • 134.4 <- 78.9 <- 67.2 <- 51.4 <- 32.0 <- 33.8 <- 30.5 <- 24.0 <- 21.8 <- 20.8 <- 20.5 <- 20.6 <- 23.7
    • 25.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.6 <- 21.1 <- 19.8 <- 17.6 <- 15.8 <- 12.1 <- 8.3 <- 5.2 <- 3.1 <- 1.9 <- 1.2 <- 2.3 
    • 4.0 <- 4.0 <- 3.3 <- 6.7 <-9.6 <-10.7 <-13.0 <-18.1 <-24.4 <-29.2 <-32.9 <-36.6 <-35.9 
    • 31.7 <-24.1 <-19.5 <-24.7 <-30.7 <-43.0 <-55.0 <-66.6 <-88.0 <-117.1 <-122.8 <-110.8 
    • 103.9 <-117.4 <-133.4 <-100.5 <-71.4 <-64.5 <-48.4 <-38.3 <-27.6 <-18.7 <-13.6 <-11.2 <-12.0 <-15.7 
    • 13.2 <-9.6 <-12.2 <-17.0 <-22.2 
  • Malden
    • 88.1 <- 54.2 <- 46.1 <- 35.1 <- 24.3 <- 23.8 <- 20.3 <- 12.8 <- 11.4 <- 13.7 <- 12.8 <- 12.8 <- 16.1
    • 18.8 <- 16.5 <- 14.7 <- 12.7 <- 12.0 <- 15.5 <- 15.2 <- 12.5 <- 9.6 <- 5.2 <- 2.1 <- 1.4 <- 0.7 <- 0.7 
    • 2.3 <- 3.3 <- 3.5 <- 4.7 <-5.1 <-6.9 <-9.8 <-13.9 <-19.3 <-26.2 <-28.2 <-28.8 <-30.7 
    • 29.2 <-24.3 <-17.3 <-16.8 <-17.0 <-23.2 <-39.5 <-53.5 <-65.5 <-84.5 <-86.0 <-72.4 
    • 68.1 <-73.4 <-81 <- 64.0 <- 36.9 <-35.3 <-26.1 <-17.1 <-13.8 <-12.2 <-11.9 <-10.9 <-6.3 <-4.3 
    • 6.1 <-7.3 <-5.9 <-3.7 <-3.0 
  • Medford
    • 107.8 <- 64.7 <- 47.5 <- 34.3 <- 27.4 <- 29.3 <- 25.4 <- 20.0 <- 19.2 <- 16.7 <- 13.9 <- 16.7 <- 18.6
    • 20.5 <- 23.5 <- 21.0 <- 16.0 <- 16.1 <- 16.7 <- 14.1 <- 10.2 <- 9.4 <- 9.3 <- 4.8 <- 1.2 <- 1.2 <- 1.5 
    • 1.2 <- 0.8 <- 3.5 <- 2.2 <-3.5 <-5.9 <-8.1 <-12.8 <-19.5 <-22.7 <-25.5 <-27.0 <-24.0 
    • 22.3 <-18.9 <-14.8 <-15.9 <-16.3 <-21.4 <-31.0 <-40.2 <-52.8 <-70.5 <-73.5 <-63.1 
    • 62.0 <-62.5 <- 67.1 <-53.8 <-26.4 <-24.1 <-18.8 <-11.6 <-8.8 <-7.2 <-6.9 <-5.8 <-4.8 <-4.7 
    • 4.7 <-5.4 <-4.1 <-3.3 <-4.1 
  • Quincy
    • 91.3 <- 61.6 <- 46.6 <- 31.7 <- 22.7 <- 20.1 <- 15.4 <- 13.4 <- 13.3 <- 14.3 <- 14.1 <- 11.8 <- 11.1
    • 13.0 <- 13.7 <- 12.5 <- 15.6 <- 18.6 <- 16.0 <- 12.6 <- 8.6 <- 5.6 <- 4.2 <- 3.9 <- 2.3 <- 0.5 <- 0.4 
    • 0.3 <- 0.0 <- 0.8 <- 1.9 <-2.0 <-3.6 <-6.6 <-11.1 <-14.4 <-16.0 <-18.3 <-21.5 <-21.8 
    • 20.5 <-19.8 <-15.9 <-17.0 <-20.5 <-24.4 <-33.8 <-46.1 <-50.7 <-59.6 <-65.0 <-55.6 
    • 52.4 <-54.5 <- 55.8 <-41.9 <-19.3 <-13.6 <-10.3 <-8.5 <-6.9 <-6.3 <-6.9 <-6.4 <-4.8 <-3.7 
    • 3.2 <-2.9 <-2.6 <-3.3 <-2.8 
  • Salem
    • 113.0 <- 79.0 <- 75.0 <- 57.0 <- 47.1 <- 49.3 <- 41.9 <- 31.3 <- 20.9 <- 20.3 <- 22.1 <- 17.3 <- 19.4
    • 24.0 <- 26.3 <- 23.6 <- 15.7 <- 15.4 <- 13.2 <- 11.6 <- 10.2 <- 6.4 <- 4.1 <- 2.7 <- 1.6 <- 0.6 <- 0.2 
    • 0.2 <- 1.0 <- 1.3 <- 3.7 <-8.7 <-13.0 <-14.6 <-15.9 <-19.4 <-23.3 <-26.8 <-25.2 <-19.7 
    • 16.3 <-20.0 <-18.6 <-19.0 <-27.8 <-32.8 <-34.3 <-50.9 <-69.0 <-86.8 <-89.2 <-73.5 
    • 77.6 <-86.9 <-88.7 <-70.8 <-50.6 <-41.9 <-28.2 <-16.8 <-9.8 <-6.5 <-5.9 <-6.7 <-6.5 <-4.4 
    • 3.8 <-4.9 <-4.9 <-6.5 <- 9.8 
  • Somerville
    • 105.1 <- 65.6 <- 41.8 <- 32.3 <- 26.0 <- 21.3 <- 18.1 <- 16.9 <- 13.2 <- 11.3 <- 11.9 <- 12.4 <- 11.7
    • 17.2 <- 20.5 <- 15.7 <- 13.3 <- 14.5 <- 13.1 <- 11.8 <- 12.8 <- 10.1 <- 5.7 <- 3.2 <- 1.2 <- 1.5 <- 1.6 
    • 0.5 <- 0.9 <- 1.3 <- 3.1 <-4.2 <-5.4 <-8.2 <-10.6 <-12.8 <-17.1 <-23.0 <-23.9 <-25.2 
    • 24.6 <-20.9 <-18.2 <-18.7 <-20.8 <-21.7 <-27.9 <-33.2 <-40.2 <-54.7 <-56.5 <-43.2 
    • 40.3 <-48.4 <- 47.8 <-39.5 <-35.9 <-8.2 <-17.8 <-10.3 <-7.4 <-7.1 <-7.5 <-6.4 <-4.9 <-5.2 
    • 7.0 <-7.9 <-6.5 <-4.7 <-3.4 
  • Springfield
    • 143.4 <- 100.1 <- 81.6 <- 62.5 <- 45.7<- 41.6 <- 32.8 <- 22.4 <- 20.2 <- 22.6 <- 24.1 <- 29.2 <- 36.6
    • 52.6 <- 63.3 <- 55.1 <- 51.8 <- 47.2 <- 38.4 <- 31.5 <- 21.5 <- 13.7 <- 9.2 <- 6.6 <- 2.5 <- 1.5 <- 1.9 
    • 1.7 <- 2.9 <- 5.8 <- 9.3 <-14.0 <-18.7 <-25.8 <-36.9 <-43.7 <-48.7 <-47.8 <-45.0 <-40.1 
    • 29.3 <-26.8 <-32.8 <-40.0 <-42.9 <-48.1 <-63.7 <-75.3 <-86.2 <- 101.2 <- 96.1 < -81.6 
    • 80.6 <-84.1 <- 93.0 <-80.4 <65.2 <-56.9 <-38.5 <-26.3 <-18.1 <-11.3 <-14.7 <-14.6 <-9.6 <-5.7 
    • 3.7 <-3.6 <-2.8 <-3.5 <- 4.5 
  • State
    • 98.1 <- 71.7 <- 62.9 <- 50.2 <- 37.4 <- 32.4 <- 24.4 <- 19.1 <- 16.9 <- 17.7 <- 18.6 <- 18.5 <- 20.1
    • 22.6 <- 24.8 <- 23.4 <- 21.5 <- 20.2 <- 17.4 <- 15.7 <- 13.0 <- 9.3 <- 5.7 <- 3.1 <- 1.5 <- 0.9 <- 0.9 
    • 1.0 <- 1.6 <- 2.2 <- 3.6 <-5.7 <-8.2 <-11.6 <-15.2 <-19.2 <-23.8 <-27.1 <-28.5 <-26.5 
    • 22.2 <-19.5 <-19.2 <-20.7 <-23.2 <-29.2 <-37.3 <-47.6 <-58.3 <-73.8 <-77.0 <-64.9 
    • 61.7 <-64.9 <-68.1 <- 53.3 <- 35.5 <-31.2 <-22.4 <-16.3 <-12.7 <-9.3 <-8.5 <-7.6 <-6.2 <-5.1 
    • 4.4 <-4.4 <-4.5 <-4.0 <- 3.8
Number of cities/towns with each designation with my calculation:
  • Blue - 59 (same as last week) (Less than 1.5 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Green - 0 (same as last week) (Greater than 1.5 and less than 4 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Yellow - 0 (1 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 4 and less than 8 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Orange - 0 (1 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 8 and less than 16 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Red -  0 (1 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 16 and less than 24 cases per 100,000 people per day) 
  • Maroon - 6 (17 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 24 and less than 40 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Purple - 36 (54 fewer than last week) (Greater than or equal to 40 and less than 64 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black - 165 (19 more than last week)(Greater than or equal to 64 and less than 100 cases per 100,000 people per day)
  • Black w/Italic Text - 85 (55 more than last week; nearly tripling)(Greater than or equal to 100 100 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Couple quick notes: The cases being tracked here are just those conducted by an organization and not home tests, so the spread is likely much higher.  With that said, Boston, Cambridge, Medford, Salem, and Somerville all for the first time joined the ranks of communities seeing more than 100 cases per 100,000 people per day.  Lawrence nearly doubled and will likely break the 200 cases per 100,000 people per day mark shortly.  254 cities/towns got worse and only 37 got better, compared to 205 and 80 respectively last week.

Have a city/town you'd like me to keep track of?  Let me know and I'll get started.

Stay safe. Stay informed. 

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