Fun with MA COVID-19 Reporting 06-Jul-2022 Edition

Weekly update on what's happening at hospitals, cases, and deaths.

Summary: New hospitalizations, and indeed all facets of hospitalizations, have stopped improving. Cases have started going back up. And the laggiest of lagging indicators, deaths, is still higher than it was at the lowest this year and more than triple what it was this time last year.

New Hospitalization (not increased headcount, just the newly admitted patients):
Time period              - Newly admitted patients
June 2021                  -  15.0
Jun 27-Jul 3 2021       - 11.4
July 2021                   -  19.0 
August 2021              -  61.1 
September 2021        -  72.4 
October 2021            -  60.3
November 2021        -  82.5
December 2021         -186.8
January 2022             -341.4
Jan 9-15 2022            -436.7 (peak week)
February 2022           -100.5
March 2022               -  34.3
Mar 13-19 2022         -  29.3 (low week*)
April 2022                  -  61.1
May 1-7 2022             -107.6
May 8-14 2022           -124.1
May 15-21 2022         -136.3
May 22-28 2022         -127.9
May 29-Jun 4 2022     -109.7
Jun 5-11 2022             -  91.9
Jun 12-18 2022           -  89.6
Jun 19-25 2022           -  80.0
Jun 26-Jul 2 2022        -  88.3
* Note that the low week thus far for 2021 is a little more than twice the low for 2022 and that our current level is just under 10 times that low.

New hospitalizations the first three days this week, despite all the travel and the holiday on Monday, is higher than per day than each of the last 3 weeks at 90.7 so far.

Hospital use, generally, increased slightly last week, as did ICU usage and intubated patients.

Cases:
June 2021                  -     91.7 cases per day (    1.33 cases per 100,000 people per day)
June 20-26 2021        -     65.7 cases per day (    0.95 cases per 100,000 people per day)(low week 2022)
July 2021                  -    364.8 cases per day (    5.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
August 2021             -  1259.0 cases per day (  18.26 cases per 100,000 people per day)
September 2021       -  1589.9 cases per day (  23.06 cases per 100,000 people per day)
October 2021            -  1204.7 cases per day (  17.48 cases per 100,000 people per day)
November 2021       -   2301.8 cases per day (  33.39 cases per 100,000 people per day)
December 2021        -  7473.4 cases per day (108.42 cases per 100,000 people per day)
January 2022            -12834.6 cases per day (186.20 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jan 2-8 2022             -23200.7 cases per day (336.58 cases per 100,000 people per day) (peak week)
February 2022          -  1631.5 cases per day (  23.67 cases per 100,000 people per day)
March 2022              -    816.0 cases per day (  11.84 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Mar 6-12 2022         -    604.0 cases per day (    8.76 cases per 100,000 people per day) (low week*)
April 2022                -  1960.0 cases per day (  28.43 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 1-7 2022           -  3298.4 cases per day (  47.85 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 8-14 2022         -  3914.4 cases per day (  56.79 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 15-21 2022       -  3363.6 cases per day (  48.80 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 22-28 2022       -  2549.7 cases per day (  36.99 cases per 100,000 people per day)
May 29-Jun 4 2022  -  1919.7 cases per day (  27.85 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jun 5-11 2022           -  1586.0 cases per day (  23.01 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jun 12-18 2022         -  1328.3 cases per day (  19.27 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jun 19-25 2022         -  1330.0 cases per day (  19.29 cases per 100,000 people per day)
Jun 26-Jul 2 2022     -  1356.6 cases per day (  19.68 cases per 100,000 people per day)
* Note that our low week so far in 2022 is more than 8 times the low from 2021 (and we're still more than twice that low week today.

Last week I said we would likely find out that the prior week was higher than the week before it... turns out I was right but only slightly... but now we already know that last week had more cases than the week before last.  Note that June 19-25's cases increased by 10 cases per day between the report last week so expect the increase this week to turn out to be even higher.  

Deaths:
June 2021                  -  3.4 per day
July 2021                   -  2.6 per day
August 2021              -  6.3 per day
September 2021        - 12.8 per day
October 2021            - 11.7 per day
November 2021        - 13.7 per day
December 2021        -  28.7 per day
January 2022             - 61.3 per day
Jan 16-22 2022          - 73.0 per day (peak week)
February 2022           - 36.8 per day
March 2022               - 10.4 per day
Mar 27-Apr 2 2022   -   5.4 per day
Apr 3-9 2022             -   5.6 per day
Apr 10-16 2022         -   5.1 per day (low week for 2022 thus far, nearly 4 times the low week from 2021)
Apr 17-23 2022         -   5.7 per day
Apr 24-30 2022         -   6.1 per day
May 1-7 2022            -   8.3 per day
May 8-14 2022          - 11.4 per day
May 15-21 2022        - 15.3 per day
May 22-28 2022        - 12.0 per day
May 29-Jun 4 2022   -   9.9 per day
Jun 5-11 2022           -  11.9 per day 
Jun 12-18 2022         -  11.6 per day 
Jun 19-25 2022         -    8.3 per day
Jun 26-Jul 2 2022     -    7.4 per day (roughly 3.75 times what we saw the same time last year)

This week, 1 year ago, saw the fewest deaths for the entirety of the pandemic at 1.3 deaths per day.  Something tells me we won't make it that low this year... there's even a question of whether we'll reach the 5.1 deaths per day we saw earlier this year.

Stay safe. Stay informed. Stay keeping your friends, family, and neighbors safe.

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